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7:10 AM

AU - Naracoorte - Race 8

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7.1f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
13.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GARGANTUAN (1) caught the eye fresh when rattling home into second at Wodonga last month. Made it two placings on the bounce last time when sent forward from the wide draw on the syntho. Peaking now and looks the one to beat. VICTORY QUEEN (7) was no match for a tearaway winner last start at Mt Gambier but was a good winner the start prior. Will likely drift back from her draw and be charging hard late. EXONUMIA (4) was much better last time when closing off strongly into second at Port Augusta. Hasn't won for a long time but he doesn't need to improve much to finally break through. RIVAZZA (6) has mixed her form this prep but has the peaks to measure up. Backs up quickly from her fourth at Murray Bridge last time and is right in the mix off that effort. FLYWAY (2) didn't make an impression last time but has earlier form that measures right up. Not dismissing completely.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Gargantuan silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at Wodonga Bm52 on June 27 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind First Division with 132lbs at $15. Second-up crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 2nd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm52 on July 3 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Owl Witness with 132lbs at $5.50. Rates highly. Hard to beat.

1st Pick
1

Gargantuan

Jockey: Melea Castle

Trainer: Erin Maher

J: Melea Castle

T: Erin Maher

89---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at Wodonga Bm52 on June 27 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind First Division with 132lbs at $15. Second-up crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 2nd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm52 on July 3 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Owl Witness with 132lbs at $5.50. Rates highly. Hard to beat.

7
Victory Queen silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 10 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on July 12 over 7f, on heavy track, 7 len behind Loose Lip Lloyd carrying 127lbs at $3.60. The run before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Bordertown 0-54 June 28 over 6 ½f in heavy going defeating Rocktagon carrying 121lbs at $13. Capable of sharp improvement.

2nd Pick
7

Victory Queen

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Sarah Rutten

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Sarah Rutten

110---19%9/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 10 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on July 12 over 7f, on heavy track, 7 len behind Loose Lip Lloyd carrying 127lbs at $3.60. The run before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Bordertown 0-54 June 28 over 6 ½f in heavy going defeating Rocktagon carrying 121lbs at $13. Capable of sharp improvement.

4
Exonumia silk

At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Port Augusta 0-52 on July 19 over 5 ½f, 0.6 len behind Wandering Eye with 128lbs at $3.40. The start before that struggled in the run home, 7th of 11 at Bordertown 0-54 on June 28 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 9 len behind Charlesfort with 128lbs at $18. Expected to feature.

3rd Pick
4

Exonumia

Jockey: Tala Hutchinson

Trainer: Garret Lynch

J: Tala Hutchinson

T: Garret Lynch

127---20%4/1

Analysis

At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Port Augusta 0-52 on July 19 over 5 ½f, 0.6 len behind Wandering Eye with 128lbs at $3.40. The start before that struggled in the run home, 7th of 11 at Bordertown 0-54 on June 28 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 9 len behind Charlesfort with 128lbs at $18. Expected to feature.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.