AU - Naracoorte - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

7.1f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

13.6K

VIEW

Verdict

ASTRODEAN (4) couldn't match motors with an impressive winner last time but still stuck on bravely for third. The form around his Bordertown run second-up is red hot when finishing second. Peaking now and should play a significant role. TOES IN FIRST (2) made light work of his rivals two back after sitting on speed at Bordertown. Was too bad to be true last time when dropping out quickly in the lane but is worth forgiving. HASTA LA PRINCE (8) turned in a much better effort last start at Bordertown when closing off well in tough conditions behind TIF. Will likely drift back from his draw, so watch for him late. MY TRUTH (9) hasn't fired in his last two but has earlier form that measures up. Backs up quickly and is one for the wider exotics.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on July 12 over 7f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Loose Lip Lloyd carrying 128lbs at $4.40. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Bordertown Bm66 on June 28 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.1 len behind Layin' Up with 119lbs at $41. Drawn to enjoy a cosy run from an inside barrier. 1st Pick 4 Astrodean Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe Trainer: J & L Dodgson J: Stacey Metcalfe T: J & L Dodgson	127	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on July 12 over 7f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Loose Lip Lloyd carrying 128lbs at $4.40. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Bordertown Bm66 on June 28 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.1 len behind Layin' Up with 119lbs at $41. Drawn to enjoy a cosy run from an inside barrier.
2	Last start 9th of 11 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on July 12 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 16 len behind Robert The Puss with 131lbs at $9. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.75 len at Bordertown Bm56 June 28 over 7 ¾f on a heavy track defeating Hasta La Prince with 126lbs at $4.40. Will push forward and is among the chances on best form. 2nd Pick 2 Toes In First Jockey: Kayla Crowther Trainer: Darryl Dodson J: Kayla Crowther T: Darryl Dodson	158	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start 9th of 11 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on July 12 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 16 len behind Robert The Puss with 131lbs at $9. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.75 len at Bordertown Bm56 June 28 over 7 ¾f on a heavy track defeating Hasta La Prince with 126lbs at $4.40. Will push forward and is among the chances on best form.
8	Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Bordertown Bm56 on June 28 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Toes In First carrying 119lbs at $9.50. Before that ran last of 12 at Bordertown Bm58 on May 1 over 1 ¼m, 18 len behind Fiora Blue with 119lbs at $12. Nice effort last time so worth following up. 3rd Pick 8 Hasta La Prince Jockey: Isaac Sit Trainer: Sue Murphy J: Isaac Sit T: Sue Murphy	81	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Bordertown Bm56 on June 28 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Toes In First carrying 119lbs at $9.50. Before that ran last of 12 at Bordertown Bm58 on May 1 over 1 ¼m, 18 len behind Fiora Blue with 119lbs at $12. Nice effort last time so worth following up.

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A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

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A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

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A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.