AU - Naracoorte - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

7.1f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

13.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CHARLESFORT (7) was a dominant winner fresh which then led to strong market support second-up but he got too far back. Turns around quickly third-up and should relish the rise in trip. If they can settle closer he will take plenty of stopping. HARD LEAF (2) has been less effective in his last two in the slop but steps back out to a winning trip and gets an important 7lbs claim. Main danger. IMPACT STORM (8) missed by the narrowest of margins fresh but has been less effective against tougher company since. Can bounce back sharply with fresh legs. IRONBAR (3) was back to his best last start at Murray Bridge. Stays at the winning trip and keeps Murtagh who's a more than capable backmarker-pilot. LOOSE LIP LLOYD (5) made a complete mess of his rivals last start at Mt Gambier when spearing straight to the front and never giving them a sniff. Tougher here but have to pay that win some respect.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up favourite, won by 2.5 len at Bordertown 0-54 June 28 over 6 ½f on a heavy track defeating Territorian carrying 130lbs at $8. Second run from a spell eased back early on 9th of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm56 on July 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Steel Tsunami with 128lbs at $4.60. Worth another try. 1st Pick 7 Charlesfort Jockey: Tala Hutchinson Trainer: David Tootell J: Tala Hutchinson T: David Tootell	108	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up favourite, won by 2.5 len at Bordertown 0-54 June 28 over 6 ½f on a heavy track defeating Territorian carrying 130lbs at $8. Second run from a spell eased back early on 9th of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm56 on July 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Steel Tsunami with 128lbs at $4.60. Worth another try.
2	Last start settled back and ran on when 5th of 9 at Mt Gambier Bm66 on July 12 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Shout Me carrying 129lbs at $7.50. The start before that 7th of 14 at Morphettville 4yo+ 0-64 on June 20 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Nicajon with 132lbs at $6. In the mix. 2nd Pick 2 Hard Leaf Jockey: Jemma Gutte Trainer: Stephen Theodore J: Jemma Gutte T: Stephen Theodore	138	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start settled back and ran on when 5th of 9 at Mt Gambier Bm66 on July 12 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Shout Me carrying 129lbs at $7.50. The start before that 7th of 14 at Morphettville 4yo+ 0-64 on June 20 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Nicajon with 132lbs at $6. In the mix.
8	Returns from a 34-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 10 at Morphettville 3yo Bm68 on June 20 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Orlova with 121lbs at $26. The race before that 8th of 14 at Morphettville 3yo Bm68 on May 30 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Royal Sway carrying 123lbs at $20. Will be harder to beat this time. 3rd Pick 8 Impact Storm Jockey: Todd Pannell Trainer: Michael Hickmott J: Todd Pannell T: Michael Hickmott	107	-	-	-	10%	Scratched
Analysis Returns from a 34-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 10 at Morphettville 3yo Bm68 on June 20 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Orlova with 121lbs at $26. The race before that 8th of 14 at Morphettville 3yo Bm68 on May 30 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Royal Sway carrying 123lbs at $20. Will be harder to beat this time.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.