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Resulted

AU - Naracoorte - Race 4

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
7.1f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
14.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TOFINO (4) brings a string of provincial placings in stronger. Has the inside barrier and Crowther rides. Finds an easier assignment and can get the job done. SUPREME THUNDER (3) needs a good ride but is busting to win. Was back and wide from a cruel gate at Murray Bridge last time this trip and missed a nose. Will have to do it the hard way again but has to be considered. ARC DE PUISSANCE (1) Improved last start finding one better over 7f at Oakbank. Has a wide gate to manage as well, but gets weight relief with the 9lbs claim, and he can feature with average luck. DON'TCALLMECHAMP (7) resumes and has won 2/4 fresh. Keep an eye on the betting with him. FRANKEL STAR (2) was better at Oakbank and will be around the mark racing forward.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Tofino silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Balaklava Cl2 on April 1 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Stokomo with 123lbs at $4.60. The run before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 13 at Strathalbyn 0-56 on March 25 over 1m, 3 len behind Joviale with 129lbs at $11. Strong chance to win with the aid of the inside stall.

1st Pick
4

Tofino

Jockey: Kayla Crowther

Trainer: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury

J: Kayla Crowther

T: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury

118---29%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Balaklava Cl2 on April 1 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Stokomo with 123lbs at $4.60. The run before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 13 at Strathalbyn 0-56 on March 25 over 1m, 3 len behind Joviale with 129lbs at $11. Strong chance to win with the aid of the inside stall.

3
Supreme Thunder silk

Form hard to fault. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 13 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on April 10 over 7f, slow going nose behind Last War carrying 130lbs at $8.50. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on March 22 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Nudge 'Em Along with 132lbs at $4.60. Rates highly on recent form and should be in the finish again.

2nd Pick
3

Supreme Thunder

Jockey: Todd Pannell

Trainer: Jamie Opperman

J: Todd Pannell

T: Jamie Opperman

137---15%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 13 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on April 10 over 7f, slow going nose behind Last War carrying 130lbs at $8.50. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on March 22 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Nudge 'Em Along with 132lbs at $4.60. Rates highly on recent form and should be in the finish again.

1
Arc De Puissance silk

Last start 2nd of 13 at Oakbank 0-54 on April 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind In That Mode carrying 129lbs at $9. The run before that 6th of 10 at Balaklava 0-56 on March 11 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Never Surrender carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Worth following.

3rd Pick
1

Arc De Puissance

Jockey: Jemma Gutte

Trainer: Grant Kluske

J: Jemma Gutte

T: Grant Kluske

122---10%

Analysis

Last start 2nd of 13 at Oakbank 0-54 on April 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind In That Mode carrying 129lbs at $9. The run before that 6th of 10 at Balaklava 0-56 on March 11 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Never Surrender carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Worth following.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.