AU - Murray Bridge - Race 8

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

45.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Plenty of realistic chances. Going the way of OMAHA DAWN (9) who had been racing in great heart until bumping into Sir Now and others in the Listed Wylie last start. Four of his five wins have come with Stubby Holder aboard and he reunites. Great chance to bounce back to form in this more suitable affair. Veteran mare STARLITE VALLEY (10) disappointed last time out in open company over 6f at Morphettville after bolting in the start prior over today's journey. Coming back to 5f is the tick, although no placings from five appearances here is a worry. DAISYDOO (14) is in a rich vein of form, savaging the line at her last couple for a win and a placing over slightly longer journeys. Will be flashing home. BOYD (15) returned in great order last time and is ready to tackle this better race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	At the latest run ran second last of 8 in the LR W H Wylie Hcp at Morphettville on September 12 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Sir Now carrying 119lbs at $31. Before that 5th of 12 in a Bm76 at Morphettville Parks on July 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Real Deluxe with 128lbs at $3.40. Capable of sharp improvement back in her right race. 1st Pick 9 Omaha Dawn Jockey: Jason Holder Trainer: Andrew Gluyas J: Jason Holder T: Andrew Gluyas	127	-	-	-	20%
Analysis At the latest run ran second last of 8 in the LR W H Wylie Hcp at Morphettville on September 12 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Sir Now carrying 119lbs at $31. Before that 5th of 12 in a Bm76 at Morphettville Parks on July 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Real Deluxe with 128lbs at $3.40. Capable of sharp improvement back in her right race.
10	At the latest run 8th of 11 in a Hcp at Morphettville on August 29 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind The Cosmic One carrying 115lbs at $6.50. The run before that won by 3 len in a Bm70 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 5f on a soft track defeating Grand Host carrying 123lbs at $16. Can improve enough to take this out. 2nd Pick 10 Starlite Valley Jockey: Caitlin Tootell Trainer: Kym Healy J: Caitlin Tootell T: Kym Healy	131	-	-	-	3%
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 11 in a Hcp at Morphettville on August 29 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind The Cosmic One carrying 115lbs at $6.50. The run before that won by 3 len in a Bm70 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 5f on a soft track defeating Grand Host carrying 123lbs at $16. Can improve enough to take this out.
3	Dual acceptor. Most recently 5th of 11 in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Oh Arthur carrying 127lbs at $13. The run before that 4th of 11 in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.7 len behind Polyglot carrying 127lbs at $31. Expect that NSW form to stack up favourably. 3rd Pick 3 Harry Got Styles Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Non Runner T: Matt Laurie	152	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Most recently 5th of 11 in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Oh Arthur carrying 127lbs at $13. The run before that 4th of 11 in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.7 len behind Polyglot carrying 127lbs at $31. Expect that NSW form to stack up favourably.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.