AU - Murray Bridge - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

LADY LUPARA (6) bounced straight back to form last time at Penola when missing by a lip over this journey. Is drawn to advantage again and only needs to hold her form to go very close again. THINKINGNINTYNINE (1) is proving tricky to catch but has good early speed and has overall been racing well this campaign. Expect him to head straight to the front and give another bold sight. GIORGI (7) improved sharply at the latest when beaten a nose at Gawler. Finds another suitable race and can go one better. CLASSY CLARET (3) was a brave maiden winner here two back. Stuck on soundly into fifth last time without threatening the winner. Doesn't have to improve much to be competitive here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Penola 0-56 on January 16 over 1 ¼m, nose behind Sharma Princess carrying 120lbs at $9. The start before that 7th of 12 at this track 0-56 on January 1 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Warrandyte Road with 126lbs at $5. Can improve again. Will take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 6 Lady Lupara Jockey: Teagan Voorham Trainer: Gary & Dean Alexander J: Teagan Voorham T: Gary & Dean Alexander	99	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Penola 0-56 on January 16 over 1 ¼m, nose behind Sharma Princess carrying 120lbs at $9. The start before that 7th of 12 at this track 0-56 on January 1 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Warrandyte Road with 126lbs at $5. Can improve again. Will take plenty of beating.
1	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Oakbank Bm56 on January 9 over 1 5/16m, 4 len behind Greatestofease with 134lbs at $7. The run before that couldn't go on with it, ran last of 10 at Morphettville Bm78 on December 27 over 1/16m, 11 len behind Kirkliston Blu with 119lbs at $10. Well placed and gets his chance to break through. 2nd Pick 1 Thinkingnintynine Jockey: Caitlin Tootell Trainer: Travis Doudle J: Caitlin Tootell T: Travis Doudle	165	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Oakbank Bm56 on January 9 over 1 5/16m, 4 len behind Greatestofease with 134lbs at $7. The run before that couldn't go on with it, ran last of 10 at Morphettville Bm78 on December 27 over 1/16m, 11 len behind Kirkliston Blu with 119lbs at $10. Well placed and gets his chance to break through.
7	At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Gawler Cl1-Sw on January 28 over 1 5/16m, nose behind Bocheeva carrying 126lbs at $5.50. The run before that 6th of 13 at Oakbank Cl1-Sw on January 21 over 1 ³/16m, 2.75 len behind Prince Lucifer with 126lbs at $9. Can do one better. 3rd Pick 7 Giorgi Jockey: Dylan Caboche Trainer: John Hickmott & Carrina Riggs J: Dylan Caboche T: John Hickmott & Carrina Riggs	126	-	-	-	13%
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Gawler Cl1-Sw on January 28 over 1 5/16m, nose behind Bocheeva carrying 126lbs at $5.50. The run before that 6th of 13 at Oakbank Cl1-Sw on January 21 over 1 ³/16m, 2.75 len behind Prince Lucifer with 126lbs at $9. Can do one better.

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Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.