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2:40 AM

AU - Murray Bridge - Race 1

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
15.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KERSEE (10) showed promise on debut here when closing off strongly into the placings. Drops back to maiden grade and will appreciate stepping out to 6f. Won't be a maiden for long. VILLA MARIA (7) has been solid in his two runs back off a long break. Nearing his peak now and is drawn favourably. Can give this a big shake. I AM RALPH (3) continues to leave himself with too much to do. Interesting to see him dropping back to a sprinting trip but an inside alley could see him take closer order. The booking of in-form hoop Connor Murtagh is a good push for his chances. Don't take lightly. MAGIC MARINER (4) showed tactical pace when resuming, before tiring late. Fitter now and can be in the mix with natural improvement.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Kersee silk

At debut, 3rd of 12 at this track 3yo Bm60 on April 30 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Prancethrulife with 118lbs at $13. Will derive great benefit from that outing and looks the testing material.

1st Pick
10

Kersee

Jockey: Jake Toeroek

Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly

J: Jake Toeroek

T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly

131---34%2/1

Analysis

At debut, 3rd of 12 at this track 3yo Bm60 on April 30 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Prancethrulife with 118lbs at $13. Will derive great benefit from that outing and looks the testing material.

7
Villa Maria silk

Third-up today. First-up came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Balaklava 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on April 16 over 5 ¼f, 1.0 len behind Ginger Sinner carrying 126lbs at $31. Second-up 4th of 12 at Balaklava 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on April 25 over 6f, 3 len behind Tropical House carrying 126lbs at $5. Hard to beat.

2nd Pick
7

Villa Maria

Jockey: Ben Price

Trainer: John Hyam

J: Ben Price

T: John Hyam

142---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Balaklava 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on April 16 over 5 ¼f, 1.0 len behind Ginger Sinner carrying 126lbs at $31. Second-up 4th of 12 at Balaklava 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on April 25 over 6f, 3 len behind Tropical House carrying 126lbs at $5. Hard to beat.

3
I Am Ralph silk

Last start second last of 14 at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on April 30 over 7f, 5 len behind Mapleway with 126lbs at $5. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 11 at Oakbank Shillabeer on April 19 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Teardrop Rotation with 119lbs at $19. Great chance to atone.

3rd Pick
3

I Am Ralph

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Sarah Rutten

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Sarah Rutten

121---13%7/1

Analysis

Last start second last of 14 at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on April 30 over 7f, 5 len behind Mapleway with 126lbs at $5. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 11 at Oakbank Shillabeer on April 19 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Teardrop Rotation with 119lbs at $19. Great chance to atone.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.