AU - Murray Bridge - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

15.9K

VIEW

Verdict

WARM BREEZE (4) returns and has tuned up with a sharp trial win, suggesting he is ready to go. Holder on from an inside alley reads favourably. VELVET GEM (12) returned with a solid third over this trip at Strathalbyn where she sat close to the pace and battled on well. That effort should bring her on nicely and she looks a key chance second-up. PIRATE (2) went forward last start and weakened out over 6 ¾f on soft ground at Strathalbyn. The drop in trip off 49 days in between might suit. Willing to give another go. IDRACOWRA (6) has struggled to threaten of late but does have form that can measure up. Finally draws a low gate and is worth keeping safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Returns. Finished off last campaign raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at Balaklava 3yo+ Cg&E Mdn-Sw on November 20 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Taking Omaha carrying 128lbs at $6.50. When resuming last campaign 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park Mdn-Sw on April 20 2024 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Warlac carrying 129lbs at $4.90. Won trial at Murray Bridge over 4f on March 14. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a positive return. 1st Pick 4 Warm Breeze Jockey: Jason Holder Trainer: Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor J: Jason Holder T: Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor	124	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Returns. Finished off last campaign raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at Balaklava 3yo+ Cg&E Mdn-Sw on November 20 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Taking Omaha carrying 128lbs at $6.50. When resuming last campaign 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park Mdn-Sw on April 20 2024 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Warlac carrying 129lbs at $4.90. Won trial at Murray Bridge over 4f on March 14. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a positive return.
12	Second run back. First-up after six months held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ F&M Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Hysterical Lady with 122lbs at $21. Previously second-up 8th of 14 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 18 over 6f, 10 len behind Tottori carrying 123lbs at $9. Holds genuine appeal. 2nd Pick 12 Velvet Gem Jockey: Brooke King Trainer: John Macmillan J: Brooke King T: John Macmillan	101	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ F&M Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Hysterical Lady with 122lbs at $21. Previously second-up 8th of 14 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 18 over 6f, 10 len behind Tottori carrying 123lbs at $9. Holds genuine appeal.
2	Comes off a 49 day let-up. At the latest run raced on the pace before fading ran last of 14 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 13 len behind Silver Lifestyle carrying 128lbs at $3.50. The race before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 11 at Morphettville Parks 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on March 1 over 7f, 4 len behind Synchro with 128lbs at $3.20. Can bounce back. 3rd Pick 2 Pirate Jockey: Sairyn Fawke Trainer: Stephen Theodore J: Sairyn Fawke T: Stephen Theodore	128	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Comes off a 49 day let-up. At the latest run raced on the pace before fading ran last of 14 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 13 len behind Silver Lifestyle carrying 128lbs at $3.50. The race before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 11 at Morphettville Parks 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on March 1 over 7f, 4 len behind Synchro with 128lbs at $3.20. Can bounce back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.