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Resulted

AU - Mount Gambier - Race 7

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
16.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SUPREME THUNDER (4) was allowed to drift back from an outside draw last time but found the line strongly to finish fourth here. Drawn much kinder this time and if he's a couple of pairs closer, he'll prove very tough to stop. DON'T MATTA ME (7) returns from a short break. Mixed his form last time in but showed a strong turn of foot on his day. Is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley and is worth monitoring for market support. ILIAD (10) gets the blinkers on first time after a disappointing effort at Stony Creek. Has jumped out well in between runs and is worth including on best form. DIADOCHOS (1) was too bad to be true last start and has since been freshened with 61 days, keeping the legs ticking over with a trial. Drawn sticky but holds genuine claims on best figures. Don't dismiss.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Supreme Thunder silk

Racing well recently. Returns from a 47-day let-up. At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track 0-54 on January 25 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Artissi carrying 132lbs at $8.50. Before that 3rd of 12 at Bordertown 0-56 on December 14 over 7 ¾f, 4 len behind Liberty Rae with 130lbs at $4.80. Definite threat over this longer trip.

1st Pick
4

Supreme Thunder

Jockey: Melissa Julius

Trainer: Jamie Opperman

J: Melissa Julius

T: Jamie Opperman

88---25%

Analysis

Racing well recently. Returns from a 47-day let-up. At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track 0-54 on January 25 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Artissi carrying 132lbs at $8.50. Before that 3rd of 12 at Bordertown 0-56 on December 14 over 7 ¾f, 4 len behind Liberty Rae with 130lbs at $4.80. Definite threat over this longer trip.

7
Don't Matta Me silk

Resuming after a spell of 11 weeks. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Naracoorte Bm62 December 28 over 7f, 3 len behind Top Of The Ridge with 121lbs at $7.50. First up last campaign fifth of 10 at Naracoorte 0-54 November 2 over 6f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Take Me To Church with 121lbs at $6. Solid return wouldn't surprise.

2nd Pick
7

Don't Matta Me

Jockey: Dom Tourneur

Trainer: Krystal Trembath

J: Dom Tourneur

T: Krystal Trembath

54---17%

Analysis

Resuming after a spell of 11 weeks. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Naracoorte Bm62 December 28 over 7f, 3 len behind Top Of The Ridge with 121lbs at $7.50. First up last campaign fifth of 10 at Naracoorte 0-54 November 2 over 6f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Take Me To Church with 121lbs at $6. Solid return wouldn't surprise.

10
Iliad silk

Most recently sat on the pace before fading 7th of 11 at Stony Creek 0 - 56 on February 15 over 1m, 12 len behind Diamanda carrying 119lbs at $12. The run before that 7th of 12 at Murray Bridge 0-58 on February 4 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Brown Nose Day Gal with 119lbs at $21. Has ability and is a definite top three hope.

3rd Pick
10

Iliad

Jockey: Teagan Voorham

Trainer: Lisa Jones

J: Teagan Voorham

T: Lisa Jones

72---25%

Analysis

Most recently sat on the pace before fading 7th of 11 at Stony Creek 0 - 56 on February 15 over 1m, 12 len behind Diamanda carrying 119lbs at $12. The run before that 7th of 12 at Murray Bridge 0-58 on February 4 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Brown Nose Day Gal with 119lbs at $21. Has ability and is a definite top three hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.