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6:50 AM

AU - Mount Gambier - Race 5

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7.7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
14.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MISO (1) was well out of his ground at Kyneton, but this looks a much easier assignment. He's a major player if he can settle closer. HASTA LA ORIENTAL (6) produced a strong late run to grab second at Bordertown at big odds, and with Walters sticking he shapes as one of the key contenders. WEST CLIFF (4) disappointed last time but his prior two efforts were full of merit. Forgive that run, third-up at a track and trip he enjoys, he can bounce back. MR GEORGE (3) has mixed his form this prep but has the peaks to measure right up. Already a winner here and back to a trip he relishes, he can rebound sharply. AKITU (2) has a solid record second-up and should improve significantly with that run under his belt.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Miso silk

Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 7 at Kyneton Bm70 on November 5 over 7 ¼f, in the wet, 10 len behind Grid Girl carrying 130lbs at $13. The start before that 4th of 9 at this track Bm66 on October 8 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Margie's Boy carrying 134lbs at $5. Easier this time and is in this up to his ears.

1st Pick
1

Miso

Jockey: Caitlin Tootell

Trainer: Daniel Bowman

J: Caitlin Tootell

T: Daniel Bowman

90---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 7 at Kyneton Bm70 on November 5 over 7 ¼f, in the wet, 10 len behind Grid Girl carrying 130lbs at $13. The start before that 4th of 9 at this track Bm66 on October 8 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Margie's Boy carrying 134lbs at $5. Easier this time and is in this up to his ears.

6
Hasta La Oriental silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Bordertown Bm66 on November 14 over 7 ¾f, neck behind Imposing Suspect carrying 126lbs at $26. The start before that won by 0.8 len at Coleraine Mdn-Sw September 26 over 1m defeating Haiiro with 131lbs at $19. Shapes as a key runner.

2nd Pick
6

Hasta La Oriental

Jockey: Kate Walters

Trainer: Sue Murphy

J: Kate Walters

T: Sue Murphy

102---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Bordertown Bm66 on November 14 over 7 ¾f, neck behind Imposing Suspect carrying 126lbs at $26. The start before that won by 0.8 len at Coleraine Mdn-Sw September 26 over 1m defeating Haiiro with 131lbs at $19. Shapes as a key runner.

4
West Cliff silk

Last start second last of 9 at Bordertown Bm66 on November 14 over 7 ¾f, 7 len behind Imposing Suspect with 131lbs at $14. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Naracoorte Bm68 on November 2 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Hidden Bounty carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Should be competitive.

3rd Pick
4

West Cliff

Jockey: Melissa Julius

Trainer: Jamie Opperman

J: Melissa Julius

T: Jamie Opperman

155---7%14/1

Analysis

Last start second last of 9 at Bordertown Bm66 on November 14 over 7 ¾f, 7 len behind Imposing Suspect with 131lbs at $14. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Naracoorte Bm68 on November 2 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Hidden Bounty carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Should be competitive.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.