AU - Mount Gambier - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

15.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Thin maiden with only a handful of winning chances. SHAYKHLISLAMOVA (8) has placed at three of her seven starts, including first-up at this track over 6 ½f. She draws low and will likely lead. She will get her chance and might be too good for them here. FOREVER JEUNE (5) comes across the border from an astute Victorian stable and must be respected. The 9lbs apprentice boasts an excellent winning strike rate when combining with the stable. If she settles closer up to this trip, she can run well. PIKLEMEGRANMOTHER (10) started huge odds and defied market expectation on debut. This is no harder and she can run top three again. SETHACCHIO (7) and AUSTRAL MISS (4) are both lightly-raced and open to enough improvement that could see them in the minor money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 21 over 6 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Hidden Bounty with 123lbs at $9. Previously second-up 7th of 10 at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 7 ¼f, 8 len behind Amapola carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Winning chance with that run under the belt. 1st Pick 8 Shaykhlislamova Jockey: Melissa Julius Trainer: Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell J: Melissa Julius T: Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell	175	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 21 over 6 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Hidden Bounty with 123lbs at $9. Previously second-up 7th of 10 at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 7 ¼f, 8 len behind Amapola carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Winning chance with that run under the belt.
5	Last start 5th of 9 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on September 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Savitri carrying 127lbs at $31. The race before that 6th of 10 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on September 9 over 5f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Thaimor with 127lbs at $26. Well placed and can improve sharply on recent runs. 2nd Pick 5 Forever Jeune Jockey: Jade Smith Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Jade Smith T: Tom Dabernig	167	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 9 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on September 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Savitri carrying 127lbs at $31. The race before that 6th of 10 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on September 9 over 5f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Thaimor with 127lbs at $26. Well placed and can improve sharply on recent runs.
10	Jumped as a despised roughie at debut, 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 21 over 4 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Bubion carrying 119lbs at $101. Has upside and can go one better this time. 3rd Pick 10 Piklemegranmother Jockey: Dylan Caboche Trainer: Belinda O'loughlin J: Dylan Caboche T: Belinda O'loughlin	129	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis Jumped as a despised roughie at debut, 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 21 over 4 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Bubion carrying 119lbs at $101. Has upside and can go one better this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.