AU - Morphettville Parks - Race 8

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 7

85.5K

VIEW

Verdict

The Gluyas camp would've had a big red circle around this for their champ AIR ASSAULT (3). Was good without threatening first-up in the Behemoth over a trip far short of his best. Much better suited here second-up and carries the class edge. Sticky draw but Holder knows him like the back of his hand. CICALA (13) has progressed sharply in her last two and is ready to put it all together fourth-up. Yet to be tested at this trip but suspect she'll handle it. Has more upside than the rest. PUDDING (4) is a noted fresh performer and loves his home track. Draws well for Toeroek and always deserves respect. COTE ATLANTIQUE (2) comes through some strong races and has been holding his own. Loves this trip and is in the mix. Stable debut for ex-NSW trained WILLIAMSBURG (5). Has peaks that are up to this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second-up. First-up after five months 5th of 13 in the G3 Behemoth Stakes at Morphettville on August 8 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Sir Now carrying 129lbs at $19. Previously second-up 6th of 10 in the G2 Blamey Stakes at Flemington on February 28 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Birdman with 123lbs at $4.20. Targeted for this and doesn't know how to run a bad one. 1st Pick 3 Air Assault Jockey: Jason Holder Trainer: Andrew Gluyas J: Jason Holder T: Andrew Gluyas	127	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 5th of 13 in the G3 Behemoth Stakes at Morphettville on August 8 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Sir Now carrying 129lbs at $19. Previously second-up 6th of 10 in the G2 Blamey Stakes at Flemington on February 28 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Birdman with 123lbs at $4.20. Targeted for this and doesn't know how to run a bad one.
1	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Not raced for 49 days. Resuming raced on the speed throughout before fading ran second last in the LR Eye Liner Stakes at Ipswich. Last start sat on the speed throughout before fading to run last again in the LR Glasshouse Hcp at Sunshine Coast on July 4 over 7f. Blown up in his two runs but if he's back to his best he will take plenty of running down. 2nd Pick 1 Regal Zeus Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: John Mcardle J: Non Runner T: John Mcardle	127	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Not raced for 49 days. Resuming raced on the speed throughout before fading ran second last in the LR Eye Liner Stakes at Ipswich. Last start sat on the speed throughout before fading to run last again in the LR Glasshouse Hcp at Sunshine Coast on July 4 over 7f. Blown up in his two runs but if he's back to his best he will take plenty of running down.
13	Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 13 in the G3 Behemoth Stakes at Morphettville on August 8 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Sir Now with 125lbs at $6.50. The run before that 4th in a small field in a Hcp at Morphettville on July 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Lingani with 119lbs at $3.20. First look at 14 but has built nicely into this and can fire. 3rd Pick 13 Cicala Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby J: Rochelle Milnes T: Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby	164	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 13 in the G3 Behemoth Stakes at Morphettville on August 8 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Sir Now with 125lbs at $6.50. The run before that 4th in a small field in a Hcp at Morphettville on July 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Lingani with 119lbs at $3.20. First look at 14 but has built nicely into this and can fire.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.