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Resulted

AU - Morphettville Parks - Race 5

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7f
Class 2
Turf
GOOD 4
16.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CREEK (2) is yet to strike through this campaign but surely isn't far away. Took time to balance up when straightening last start, which ultimately cost him, but he continues to rate highly and remains a major player despite the bridesmaid tag. SPEEDTAIL (1) hasn't had much go right of late and was again strong through the line at Murray Bridge. Draws a touch closer on the quick back-up and just needs the breaks at the right time to be very hard to hold out. SEA OF LIGHTS (7) is going better than the form guide suggests and doesn't need to find much to be in the finish. Crowther's booking is a positive signal. No surprise if she wins. SACRED CHORD (8) rattled home to just miss as favourite at Port Lincoln. This is tougher, but she gets in light and is worth consideration. MAGIC PRINCESS (11) also rises in grade but arrives as a last-start winner and deserves respect.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Creek silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run raced on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Morphettville Cg&E 0-62 on December 12 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Outpost with 128lbs at $2. The start before that 3rd of 11 at this track Cl1 on November 29 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Autumn Frost with 129lbs at $4. Leading chance.

1st Pick
2

Creek

Jockey: Rochelle Milnes

Trainer: Paula Trenwith

J: Rochelle Milnes

T: Paula Trenwith

115---46%

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run raced on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Morphettville Cg&E 0-62 on December 12 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Outpost with 128lbs at $2. The start before that 3rd of 11 at this track Cl1 on November 29 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Autumn Frost with 129lbs at $4. Leading chance.

1
Speedtail silk

Most recently 5th of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm62 on December 20 over 7f, 4 len behind Conni Island carrying 131lbs at $8. The run before that 2nd of 11 at this track Cg&E Bm64 on November 29 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Captain Joolian with 129lbs at $2.90. Certainly worth another chance.

2nd Pick
1

Speedtail

Jockey: Alana Livesey

Trainer: Cody Reardon

J: Alana Livesey

T: Cody Reardon

158---13%

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm62 on December 20 over 7f, 4 len behind Conni Island carrying 131lbs at $8. The run before that 2nd of 11 at this track Cg&E Bm64 on November 29 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Captain Joolian with 129lbs at $2.90. Certainly worth another chance.

7
Sea Of Lights silk

Returns from a 41-day let-up. Last start led to the turn then faded second last of 7 at this track Cl2 on November 15 over 7 ¾f, 3 len behind Isuspectjeu with 117lbs at $3.30. The run before that 5th of 9 at this track F&M 0-64 on November 8 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Wild Winner carrying 129lbs at $6. Deserves another chance this suitable line-up.

3rd Pick
7

Sea Of Lights

Jockey: Kayla Crowther

Trainer: Will Clarken

J: Kayla Crowther

T: Will Clarken

116---25%

Analysis

Returns from a 41-day let-up. Last start led to the turn then faded second last of 7 at this track Cl2 on November 15 over 7 ¾f, 3 len behind Isuspectjeu with 117lbs at $3.30. The run before that 5th of 9 at this track F&M 0-64 on November 8 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Wild Winner carrying 129lbs at $6. Deserves another chance this suitable line-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.