AU - Morphettville Parks - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

6.2f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

16.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ACT NATURAL (1) continues to knock on the door, placing in all 11 starts, and gets another terrific opportunity to finally shed the maiden tag. Only needs to hold his current level to be right in the finish again. BRIMARVI ROSEMARIE (6) is in a similar boat, honest without breaking through. Again left herself with too much to do last start before hitting the line strongly. If she can settle a touch closer, she'll take plenty of stopping. PRETTY MORSEL (9) has built nicely through the campaign and should be nearing her peak now fourth-up. Needs a touch of luck from the wide draw but can feature. HOMETOWN GAL (7) improved sharply last start when sent forward on the main track, only to be claimed late. Strips fitter and is in the mix. ILLUSTRATES (8) was below her best last time but her run two back was solid. From the favourable draw, she's worth keeping safe in exotics.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 6 ¼f, 2.5 len behind Light The Night with 128lbs at $4.80. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Murray Bridge 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 19 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Beyond Mysti carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Big chance. 1st Pick 1 Act Natural Jockey: Caitlin Jones Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Caitlin Jones T: Phillip Stokes	248	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 6 ¼f, 2.5 len behind Light The Night with 128lbs at $4.80. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Murray Bridge 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 19 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Beyond Mysti carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Big chance.
6	Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 10 at Morphettville 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 12 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Anahorish with 123lbs at $5.50. The start before that 2nd of 10 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 26 over 6f, neck behind Kiss And Kaboom with 123lbs at $5.50. Better than that and is a leading player. 2nd Pick 6 Brimarvi Rosemarie Jockey: Sairyn Fawke Trainer: Sarah Rutten J: Sairyn Fawke T: Sarah Rutten	100	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 10 at Morphettville 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 12 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Anahorish with 123lbs at $5.50. The start before that 2nd of 10 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 26 over 6f, neck behind Kiss And Kaboom with 123lbs at $5.50. Better than that and is a leading player.
9	Recent form sound. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Morphettville 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 12 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Anahorish with 123lbs at $12. The race before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Strathalbyn 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Ruled By Thieves carrying 117lbs at $13. Top chance. 3rd Pick 9 Pretty Morsel Jockey: Kayla Crowther Trainer: Matthew Seyers J: Kayla Crowther T: Matthew Seyers	96	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Morphettville 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 12 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Anahorish with 123lbs at $12. The race before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Strathalbyn 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Ruled By Thieves carrying 117lbs at $13. Top chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.