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Resulted

AU - Morphettville Parks - Race 1

Thoroughbred
6 Runners
6.2f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
39.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PRETTY BABY (1) has gone from strength to strength this campaign and gets a great opportunity to bring up the hat-trick. Goes up in the weights this time after her demolition job two weeks ago but she looks better suited at the 6f and is in too good of form to look past. DUSTEE (2) dug deep to get off the mark two back when leading pillar-to-post at Seymour. Followed it up with a brave front-running effort on the Heath last time but was just reeled in late. Expect him to push forward again and give another bold sight. CHICA ASTUTA (3) failed to live up to his firm market support last start when beaten a long way by Pretty Baby. Clearly wasn't at her best there, deserves another look. LAST WEEKS PAY (5) has jumped out sharply in readiness to his debut and gets in light with the 7lbs claimer engaged. Not underestimating. AZYTASS (4) should be peaking now and remains in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Pretty Baby silk

Recent form sound. Most recently was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 2.25 len at Morphettville on August 8 over 5 ¼f on a rain affected track defeating Azytass with 128lbs at $4.20. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len in the LR David Peacock (Oaklands) Plate at this track on June 27 over 7f in soft going defeating Brevitas with 119lbs at $10. Talented filly that can bring up the hat-trick.

1st Pick
1

Pretty Baby

Jockey: Caitlin Tootell

Trainer: Gordon Richards & Damien Moyle

J: Caitlin Tootell

T: Gordon Richards & Damien Moyle

212---34%

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 2.25 len at Morphettville on August 8 over 5 ¼f on a rain affected track defeating Azytass with 128lbs at $4.20. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len in the LR David Peacock (Oaklands) Plate at this track on June 27 over 7f in soft going defeating Brevitas with 119lbs at $10. Talented filly that can bring up the hat-trick.

2
Dustee silk

Last start 6th of 9 in a 3yo Hcp at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 6f, slow going 1.2 len behind Stakes carrying 119lbs at $10. Before that won by a long-neck at Seymour on July 19 over 6f in the wet defeating La Reina Vega carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Could prove tough to run down under Holder.

2nd Pick
2

Dustee

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Jason Holder

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

218---39%

Analysis

Last start 6th of 9 in a 3yo Hcp at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 6f, slow going 1.2 len behind Stakes carrying 119lbs at $10. Before that won by a long-neck at Seymour on July 19 over 6f in the wet defeating La Reina Vega carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Could prove tough to run down under Holder.

3
Chica Astuta silk

Third race start. Promising on debut as favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at this track on February 28 over 5f in soft going defeating Cyclotron carrying 120lbs at $4.80. Returned from break 4th of 7 in a 3yo Bm66 at Morphettville on August 8 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Pretty Baby with 125lbs at $2. Can improve sharply second-up and is worth another look.

3rd Pick
3

Chica Astuta

Jockey: Noel Callow

Trainer: Phillip & Tommy Stokes

J: Noel Callow

T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes

148---10%

Analysis

Third race start. Promising on debut as favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at this track on February 28 over 5f in soft going defeating Cyclotron carrying 120lbs at $4.80. Returned from break 4th of 7 in a 3yo Bm66 at Morphettville on August 8 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Pretty Baby with 125lbs at $2. Can improve sharply second-up and is worth another look.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.