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6:04 AM

AU - Morphettville - Race 8

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
32.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Sticking with the Victorian visitor TOUCHDOWN (4), who hasn't done much wrong in three starts. This is a nice progression and he'll get every chance to win again with Pannell riding from barrier four. He looks the one to beat. TOWER OF TUSCANY (8) has been runner-up at this track and distance at his two most recent starts. While he doesn't win out of turn, he looks well placed here to fight out the finish. The best Victorian form of CLEITUS (2) gives him a chance here, although his first run for the new stable was only fair. COLLATED (5) might be ready to fire after three runs this campaign, while COCKATOO ROSE (9) must be included in quaddies and exotics. She keeps raising the bar and might be able to win again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Touchdown silk

Third-up today. Resuming favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Sale Mdn-Sw September 14 over 7f defeating Thinxzo carrying 131lbs at $1.16. Second run from a spell 2nd of 9 at Ballarat 0 - 62 on October 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Dancing Dolly carrying 132lbs at $2.60. Fitter and rates a key chance this line-up.

1st Pick
4

Touchdown

Jockey: Todd Pannell

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Todd Pannell

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

130---45%5/4

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Sale Mdn-Sw September 14 over 7f defeating Thinxzo carrying 131lbs at $1.16. Second run from a spell 2nd of 9 at Ballarat 0 - 62 on October 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Dancing Dolly carrying 132lbs at $2.60. Fitter and rates a key chance this line-up.

8
Tower Of Tuscany silk

Racing well recently. Most recently sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at this track 4yo+ Cl2 on October 4 over 1m, long-neck behind Grinzinger Halo with 123lbs at $7.50. The race before that 2nd of 13 at this track Cl2 on August 30 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Anthracite with 119lbs at $16. Will prove a tough nut to crack.

2nd Pick
8

Tower Of Tuscany

Jockey: Rochelle Milnes

Trainer: Kirsten Mooney

J: Rochelle Milnes

T: Kirsten Mooney

102---12%15/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at this track 4yo+ Cl2 on October 4 over 1m, long-neck behind Grinzinger Halo with 123lbs at $7.50. The race before that 2nd of 13 at this track Cl2 on August 30 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Anthracite with 119lbs at $16. Will prove a tough nut to crack.

2
Cleitus silk

Most recently raced on the pace before fading 8th of 10 at Morphettville Parks Nmw-Ly Bm62 on October 10 over 7 ¾f, 5.5 len behind Bona Fide Star with 128lbs at $21. The race before that sat on the pace before fading second last of 13 at this track 0-66 on August 30 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Tropical House carrying 132lbs at $10. Made headway last time. Best form gives him a great chance.

3rd Pick
2

Cleitus

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop

J: Unknown Jockey

T: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop

88---2%50/1

Analysis

Most recently raced on the pace before fading 8th of 10 at Morphettville Parks Nmw-Ly Bm62 on October 10 over 7 ¾f, 5.5 len behind Bona Fide Star with 128lbs at $21. The race before that sat on the pace before fading second last of 13 at this track 0-66 on August 30 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Tropical House carrying 132lbs at $10. Made headway last time. Best form gives him a great chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.