AU - Morphettville - Race 8

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

80.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

CHICAGO STORM (1) was held up until late last start on the Parks track but once clear he really savaged the line. Has come back in career-best form this campaign and only needs to maintain that level to go very close again. SIR NOW (7) left himself far too much to do behind Chicago Storm last time but charged late. Meets several of these much better at the weights and reunites with Collett, who has an excellent record aboard. Freshened with five weeks between runs and sharpened by a trial win. Can bounce back to winning form. GRINZINGER PRINCE (5) was dominant first-up here and then only warmed late at Caulfield. Kept fresh with six weeks between runs and tuned up with a jumpout. Ready to launch and no surprise to see him in the finish. WATCHME WIN (2) drops in grade and boasts a terrific record at this track. A G3 winner who oozes class, he just has to shoulder the big weight but remains a genuine chance. PRAIRIE FLOWER (4) Hasn't won for a little while but loves it here. Safely kept.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing well recently. Last start 2nd in a small field at Morphettville Parks Hcp on December 6 over 6 ¼f, 1.1 len behind My Khalifa carrying 134lbs at $6. The run before that won by 0.5 len at this track Gytrash November 22 over 6f on a soft track defeating Zoupurring with 132lbs at $12. Key chance capable of taking this out. 1st Pick 1 Chicago Storm Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: David Aldridge J: Rochelle Milnes T: David Aldridge	163	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 2nd in a small field at Morphettville Parks Hcp on December 6 over 6 ¼f, 1.1 len behind My Khalifa carrying 134lbs at $6. The run before that won by 0.5 len at this track Gytrash November 22 over 6f on a soft track defeating Zoupurring with 132lbs at $12. Key chance capable of taking this out.
7	Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run got back early 8th of 10 at this track Gytrash on November 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Chicago Storm with 125lbs at $4. The start before that 5th of 11 at Flemington in the LR Century Stks on November 6 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Stokke carrying 126lbs at $11. Looks a strong top-three prospect. 2nd Pick 7 Sir Now Jockey: Margaret Collett Trainer: Darryl Hewitt J: Margaret Collett T: Darryl Hewitt	111	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run got back early 8th of 10 at this track Gytrash on November 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Chicago Storm with 125lbs at $4. The start before that 5th of 11 at Flemington in the LR Century Stks on November 6 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Stokke carrying 126lbs at $11. Looks a strong top-three prospect.
5	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Not raced for 42 days. Resuming won by 1.5 len at this track Bm84 October 4 over 5 ¼f defeating Winning Revolution with 128lbs at $15. Last start 4th of 11 at Caulfield in the LR Caul Village on November 15 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Boston Rocks carrying 119lbs at $26. Looks hard to beat. 3rd Pick 5 Grinzinger Prince Jockey: Alana Livesey Trainer: Cody Reardon J: Alana Livesey T: Cody Reardon	77	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Not raced for 42 days. Resuming won by 1.5 len at this track Bm84 October 4 over 5 ¼f defeating Winning Revolution with 128lbs at $15. Last start 4th of 11 at Caulfield in the LR Caul Village on November 15 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Boston Rocks carrying 119lbs at $26. Looks hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.