AU - Morphettville - Race 8

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

46.3K

VIEW

Verdict

KALMANA (2) is yet to be rewarded this prep but continues to produce gutsy performances. Happy to forgive the latest effort after getting badly held up at a crucial stage. Expect more positive tactics this time. POSH DIAMANTE (11) produced strong late splits to break through with at Sale last start. Rises in grade but gets in light. ROYAL SWAY (4) made light work of several of these on the Parks track last time and despite rising in the weights still looks to have further upside. MOSTLY FOR SHOW (1) comes through the same race, where he was doing his best work late to grab fourth. He meets Royal Sway better at the weights and gets his chance to turn the tables. MAKE ME A STAR (13) was dominant two starts back before failing to fire last time. She can be hard to catch, but her best form is good enough to keep her safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Most recently sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 11 at Morphettville Parks 3yo Bm66 on May 16 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Royal Sway with 127lbs at $4.40. The race before that 5th of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm70 on April 29 over 1m, 2 len behind Parvenu with 130lbs at $6. Key chance in this line up and can improve sharply. 1st Pick 2 Kalmana Jockey: Jackson Murphy Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly J: Jackson Murphy T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly	177	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 11 at Morphettville Parks 3yo Bm66 on May 16 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Royal Sway with 127lbs at $4.40. The race before that 5th of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm70 on April 29 over 1m, 2 len behind Parvenu with 130lbs at $6. Key chance in this line up and can improve sharply.
11	At the latest run came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Sale Mdn-Sw May 17 over 7f defeating Overcast carrying 127lbs at $3.70. The race before that came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 3 over 6f, head behind High Ambitions carrying 123lbs at $9. Will take a lot from that success and can get the job done again. 2nd Pick 11 Posh Diamante Jockey: Ben Kennedy Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Ben Kennedy T: Phillip Stokes	99	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis At the latest run came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Sale Mdn-Sw May 17 over 7f defeating Overcast carrying 127lbs at $3.70. The race before that came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 3 over 6f, head behind High Ambitions carrying 123lbs at $9. Will take a lot from that success and can get the job done again.
4	Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 3 len at Morphettville Parks 3yo Bm66 May 16 over 7 ¾f on a soft track defeating Sassy Sophie carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Before that got back early 8th of 14 at this track in the LR Adl Gneas on May 2 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Tiptop Tori carrying 122lbs at $31. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 4 Royal Sway Jockey: Todd Pannell Trainer: Sue & Jason Jaensch J: Todd Pannell T: Sue & Jason Jaensch	158	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 3 len at Morphettville Parks 3yo Bm66 May 16 over 7 ¾f on a soft track defeating Sassy Sophie carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Before that got back early 8th of 14 at this track in the LR Adl Gneas on May 2 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Tiptop Tori carrying 122lbs at $31. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.