AU - Morphettville - Race 8

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

715.8K

VIEW

Verdict

SKYBIRD (1) went enormous in the G1 T J Smith Stakes, beaten only a length by Joliestar and Giga Kick. If she reproduces anything close to that she's a massive winning chance. GENEROSITY (3) took out the G2 Challenge Stakes fresh when rolling forward, then flashed late to just miss in the G1 Galaxy. The inside draw looks good on paper, but Macdonald will almost certainly be angling away from the fence to keep her in clean air. CHARM STONE (2) is a dual G1 winner returning to defend her crown. Was electric fresh in the spring when smashing them in the G1 Manikato. She resumed in the G1 William Reid this prep and stuck on bravely behind a red-hot Jigsaw. Her peaks are good enough to win this again. Maher has BENEDETTA (4) back somewhere near her best. She's at peak fitness now and draws perfectly for Melham. Not dismissing. POINT BARROW (17) is still on the rise and will be looking to round them up late. MY GLADIOLA (16) has been too bad to be true in her past two. Can't forget.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 9 at Randwick in the G2 Challenge on March 7 over 5f, 2 len behind Generosity carrying 125lbs at $12. Second-up 3rd of 9 at Randwick in the G1 T J Smith on April 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Joliestar carrying 125lbs at $41. Fitter now and making headway. Watch for her bursting through. 1st Pick 1 Skybird Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Mitchell Freedman J: John Allen T: Mitchell Freedman	124	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 9 at Randwick in the G2 Challenge on March 7 over 5f, 2 len behind Generosity carrying 125lbs at $12. Second-up 3rd of 9 at Randwick in the G1 T J Smith on April 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Joliestar carrying 125lbs at $41. Fitter now and making headway. Watch for her bursting through.
3	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose at Randwick G2 Challenge March 7 over 5f defeating Marhoona with 125lbs at $10. Second run from a spell 5th of 12 at Rosehill in the G1 The Galaxy on March 21 over 5 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Marhoona carrying 122lbs at $17. Elite formlines and draws the A1 for JMac. 2nd Pick 3 Generosity Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	193	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose at Randwick G2 Challenge March 7 over 5f defeating Marhoona with 125lbs at $10. Second run from a spell 5th of 12 at Rosehill in the G1 The Galaxy on March 21 over 5 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Marhoona carrying 122lbs at $17. Elite formlines and draws the A1 for JMac.
2	Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Caulfield in the G1 William Reid on March 21 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Jigsaw with 125lbs at $21. Previously second-up second last of 7 at Moonee Valley in the G2 Mcewen on October 25 over 6f, 5 len behind Jigsaw carrying 125lbs at $2.05. Certainly worth following up. 3rd Pick 2 Charm Stone Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Mark Zahra T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	142	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Caulfield in the G1 William Reid on March 21 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Jigsaw with 125lbs at $21. Previously second-up second last of 7 at Moonee Valley in the G2 Mcewen on October 25 over 6f, 5 len behind Jigsaw carrying 125lbs at $2.05. Certainly worth following up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.