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53 Min Till Start

AU - Morphettville - Race 8

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5.2f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
17.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RICH LADY (9) has attacked the line with gusto and been beaten narrowly in her two runs this prep, both in similar races to this at Balaklava. Draws the fence so she should enjoy a perfect run. Has registered a remarkable 15 placings from 25 at this trip without winning - maybe today is the big day. MERCURY EIGHT (1) led all the way for an arrogant first-up win over today's journey at Balaklava against BM58 opposition. Has been given a five-week let-up since that performance. Distance specialist who looks the biggest threat. Veteran THE MAGISTRATE (8) led but was overwhelmed over this trip at Balaklava last time. Can never be ruled out of a race like this. HEAVEN ROCKS (4) is a very good fresh performer who is in the mix first-up from a 136-day spell. MUSICAL SUNSET (7) put in an out-of-character run last start at Balaklava. Worth another chance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Rich Lady silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a F&M 0-56 at Balaklava on September 16 over 5 ¼f, nose behind Mystic Mind carrying 129lbs at $7. Second-up 2nd of 13 in a Bm56 at Balaklava on October 14 over 5 ¼f, 1.0 len behind Reoffer carrying 126lbs at $11. Hard to beat.

1st Pick
9

Rich Lady

Jockey: Jake Toeroek

Trainer: Wayne Francis & Glen Kent

J: Jake Toeroek

T: Wayne Francis & Glen Kent

104---13%7/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a F&M 0-56 at Balaklava on September 16 over 5 ¼f, nose behind Mystic Mind carrying 129lbs at $7. Second-up 2nd of 13 in a Bm56 at Balaklava on October 14 over 5 ¼f, 1.0 len behind Reoffer carrying 126lbs at $11. Hard to beat.

1
Mercury Eight silk

Second run back. First-up after six months won by 2.5 len in a Bm58 at Balaklava on September 30 over 5 ¼f defeating Over Yonder with 123lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 5th of 10 in a Cl1 at Gawler on July 16 2025 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Hot Strut carrying 131lbs at $8. Sure to go well again. Can make it back-to-back wins.

2nd Pick
1

Mercury Eight

Jockey: Ashlee Stone

Trainer: Bill Bogarts

J: Ashlee Stone

T: Bill Bogarts

128---34%2/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months won by 2.5 len in a Bm58 at Balaklava on September 30 over 5 ¼f defeating Over Yonder with 123lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 5th of 10 in a Cl1 at Gawler on July 16 2025 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Hot Strut carrying 131lbs at $8. Sure to go well again. Can make it back-to-back wins.

2
Bonfire Girl silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Returns from a 31-day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Bm54 at Jamestown on October 3 over 6f defeating Sports Choice carrying 132lbs at $2.50. The start before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len in a F&M 0-56 at Strathalbyn on September 27 over 6f in soft going defeating Dazelles carrying 131lbs at $11. Ready to take on this company.

3rd Pick
2

Bonfire Girl

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Travis Doudle

J: Non Runner

T: Travis Doudle

124---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Returns from a 31-day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Bm54 at Jamestown on October 3 over 6f defeating Sports Choice carrying 132lbs at $2.50. The start before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len in a F&M 0-56 at Strathalbyn on September 27 over 6f in soft going defeating Dazelles carrying 131lbs at $11. Ready to take on this company.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.