AU - Morphettville - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

10.1f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

32.5K

VIEW

Verdict

TIERRA (7) brings winning Victorian form, albeit in lesser grade. But she's a progressive type who meets horses that have largely found their mark. She can use her early speed to overcome the wide draw and, if she can save something for the finish, she'll be hard to beat. THE MANSMAN (2) has been back to the trials since his last start. He keeps racing well and looks a lock for a top-three spot again, although he struggles to win. LOMAX (4) is another that needs all the favours but he's got the ability to be in the finish. KING OF WESSEX (3) is a last start winner that will bring confidence and can run well from a low draw, while ZAIN PRINCE (8) is worth some thought for quaddies and wider plays.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len at Kilmore Bm56 September 29 over 1 ¼m defeating Shockstar with 131lbs at $5. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Tatura Bm56 on September 8 over 1 ³/16m, long-neck behind Ahab carrying 131lbs at $1.90. Well placed. One of the major players. 1st Pick 7 Tierra Jockey: Todd Pannell Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Todd Pannell T: Ciaron Maher	90	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len at Kilmore Bm56 September 29 over 1 ¼m defeating Shockstar with 131lbs at $5. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Tatura Bm56 on September 8 over 1 ³/16m, long-neck behind Ahab carrying 131lbs at $1.90. Well placed. One of the major players.
2	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 10 at Morphettville Parks Bm64 on September 27 over 1 ³/16m, 2.5 len behind Guru Warrior carrying 132lbs at $5. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track 0-64 on September 13 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Anthracite with 131lbs at $11. Another big run is on the cards. 2nd Pick 2 The Mansman Jockey: Jacob Opperman Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Jacob Opperman T: Phillip Stokes	173	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 10 at Morphettville Parks Bm64 on September 27 over 1 ³/16m, 2.5 len behind Guru Warrior carrying 132lbs at $5. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track 0-64 on September 13 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Anthracite with 131lbs at $11. Another big run is on the cards.
4	Most recently 4th in a small field at Murray Bridge Bm84 on October 11 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Darknconfidential with 119lbs at $16. The run before that 6th of 12 at this track 0-64 on September 13 over 1m, 5 len behind Anthracite carrying 131lbs at $13. Certainly worth another chance but needs all the favours. 3rd Pick 4 Lomax Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Paul Carey J: Connor Murtagh T: Paul Carey	150	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Most recently 4th in a small field at Murray Bridge Bm84 on October 11 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Darknconfidential with 119lbs at $16. The run before that 6th of 12 at this track 0-64 on September 13 over 1m, 5 len behind Anthracite carrying 131lbs at $13. Certainly worth another chance but needs all the favours.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.