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2:37 AM

AU - Morphettville - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
5.2f
Unknown
Turf
GOOD 4
36.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VINTAGE STAR (6) is edging closer to a breakthrough, with placings at his last two runs. Peaking now and dropping back to a winning trip, he looks well placed to finally get the job done. BRISTLER (7) disappointed last time but had rediscovered some of his best form prior. From the inside alley he should bounce straight to the front and prove very tough to reel in. HOWL (4) has built nicely into this preparation and is going better than his form suggests. If he's close enough at the turn, he can cause a scare late. SKIPJACK (3) resumes for the Stokes camp and is a noted fresh performer. Loves this journey and has jumped out well in readiness. No reason he can't play a major role. THE GREAT BABY (1) didn't fire fresh but is capable of a much stronger showing with that run under his belt. Has been kept fresh and can improve sharply.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Vintage Star silk

Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Gawler Nmw-Ly Bm72 on December 13 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Three Rings with 127lbs at $4.20. The start before that 3rd of 8 at Morphettville Parks Bm74 on November 29 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Mintulee carrying 125lbs at $4.60. Worth plenty of thought.

1st Pick
6

Vintage Star

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly

193---31%9/4

Analysis

Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Gawler Nmw-Ly Bm72 on December 13 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Three Rings with 127lbs at $4.20. The start before that 3rd of 8 at Morphettville Parks Bm74 on November 29 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Mintulee carrying 125lbs at $4.60. Worth plenty of thought.

7
Bristler silk

Most recently 5th of 9 at Morphettville Parks Cg&E Bm68 on December 6 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Winning Revolution carrying 129lbs at $2.50. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 at Morphettville Parks Bm74 on November 29 over 5f, head behind Mintulee carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Hard to beat on his best form.

2nd Pick
7

Bristler

Jockey: Kayla Crowther

Trainer: Gordon Richards & Damien Moyle

J: Kayla Crowther

T: Gordon Richards & Damien Moyle

152---23%7/2

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 9 at Morphettville Parks Cg&E Bm68 on December 6 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Winning Revolution carrying 129lbs at $2.50. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 at Morphettville Parks Bm74 on November 29 over 5f, head behind Mintulee carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Hard to beat on his best form.

4
Howl silk

Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 7 at Gawler Nmw-Ly Bm72 on December 13 over 6f, 4 len behind Three Rings carrying 122lbs at $13. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 15 at this track Riziz Bm68 on November 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Ginger Sinner carrying 127lbs at $18. Strong contender on best form.

3rd Pick
4

Howl

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Tracy Cox

J: Jason Holder

T: Tracy Cox

141---13%7/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 7 at Gawler Nmw-Ly Bm72 on December 13 over 6f, 4 len behind Three Rings carrying 122lbs at $13. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 15 at this track Riziz Bm68 on November 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Ginger Sinner carrying 127lbs at $18. Strong contender on best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.