AU - Morphettville - Race 1

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

12.6f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

35.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

LADY THINKABELL (9) couldn't quite go with them in the Country Oaks at Ballarat but she stuck on well enough to finish midfield. This isn't as tough and she gets in lighter. Peaking now and is the one to beat. SOMEWHERE SOON (5) left herself with too much to do over a shorter trip last week but warmed into it late again. She'll appreciate rising in distance on the quick back up and Holder should be able to have her closer from the better draw. ALAINGE (4) closed off nicely into fifth in the G2 Adelaide Cup two back, then was forced to drop sharply in trip at Oakbank and still held her ground. Much better suited stepping back out and can play a major role. EMPRESS OF THE SUN (3) hasn't been beaten far in her last two and strips fitter fourth up. Where Allen lands from the gate will be key but she's one to monitor. CHOCOLATE ROYAL (2) bounced back sharply at Bendigo when just missing. She's at her top now and gets Toeroek, which keeps her in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Most recently 5th of 9 at Ballarat Country Oaks on April 3 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Too Darn Discreet with 123lbs at $8.50. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm74 on March 25 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sapphire Siren with 115lbs at $2.20. Has the ability to be in the finish. 1st Pick 9 Lady Thinkabell Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: J G Symons & S Laxon J: Daniel Stackhouse T: J G Symons & S Laxon	156	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Most recently 5th of 9 at Ballarat Country Oaks on April 3 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Too Darn Discreet with 123lbs at $8.50. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm74 on March 25 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sapphire Siren with 115lbs at $2.20. Has the ability to be in the finish.
5	Most recently 6th of 15 at Oakbank 1Mw-Ly Bm72 on April 4 over 1 ³/16m, 3.5 len behind Savsonic with 126lbs at $6. The race before that 4th of 12 at this track 0-66 on March 9 over 1 ¼m, 1.1 len behind Just A Brother carrying 127lbs at $3.50. Can improve on the latest effort and gets her chance. 2nd Pick 5 Somewhere Soon Jockey: Jason Holder Trainer: Andrew Gluyas J: Jason Holder T: Andrew Gluyas	119	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently 6th of 15 at Oakbank 1Mw-Ly Bm72 on April 4 over 1 ³/16m, 3.5 len behind Savsonic with 126lbs at $6. The race before that 4th of 12 at this track 0-66 on March 9 over 1 ¼m, 1.1 len behind Just A Brother carrying 127lbs at $3.50. Can improve on the latest effort and gets her chance.
4	Last start 5th of 12 at Oakbank Onka Cup on April 4 over 1 5/16m, 4 len behind Savatoff carrying 119lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 18 at this track in the G2 Adl Cup on March 9 over 2m, 7 len behind American Wolf with 117lbs at $51. Finds a nice race and worth another chance. 3rd Pick 4 Alainge Jockey: Sairyn Fawke Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Sairyn Fawke T: Garret Lynch	146	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 12 at Oakbank Onka Cup on April 4 over 1 5/16m, 4 len behind Savatoff carrying 119lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 18 at this track in the G2 Adl Cup on March 9 over 2m, 7 len behind American Wolf with 117lbs at $51. Finds a nice race and worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.