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Resulted

AU - Morphettville - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 10
46.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ORLOVA (6) closed strongly from the back to just miss here three weeks ago. Strips fitter third-up and keeps the 7lbs claimer to get her in flyweight. This looks winnable and she is fancied to go and do the business. POSH DIAMANTE (7) finished just behind Orlova last time. Has been rock-solid since resuming and finds another good race for her. IMPACT STORM (4) was far from his best last time but was good fresh at Balaklava when missing by a lip. Can bounce back third-up. DARCI LANE (3) lengthened nicely at Strathalbyn on debut to make the perfect start. Keeps Pannell and is drawn to get a cosy run.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Orlova silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming got back early 6th of 10 at Morphettville Parks Cl2 on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Sparkling Luck carrying 114lbs at $9. Second-up 2nd of 14 at this track 3yo Bm68 on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Royal Sway with 112lbs at $14. Peaking now and is ready to win.

1st Pick
6

Orlova

Jockey: Tala Hutchinson

Trainer: Dan Clarken & Oopy Macgillivray

J: Tala Hutchinson

T: Dan Clarken & Oopy Macgillivray

178---46%

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming got back early 6th of 10 at Morphettville Parks Cl2 on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Sparkling Luck carrying 114lbs at $9. Second-up 2nd of 14 at this track 3yo Bm68 on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Royal Sway with 112lbs at $14. Peaking now and is ready to win.

7
Posh Diamante silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track 3yo Bm68 on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Royal Sway carrying 120lbs at $8.50. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Sale Mdn-Sw May 17 over 7f defeating Overcast carrying 127lbs at $3.70. Racing well and looks a key chance.

2nd Pick
7

Posh Diamante

Jockey: Will Price

Trainer: Phillip Stokes

J: Will Price

T: Phillip Stokes

129---25%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track 3yo Bm68 on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Royal Sway carrying 120lbs at $8.50. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Sale Mdn-Sw May 17 over 7f defeating Overcast carrying 127lbs at $3.70. Racing well and looks a key chance.

2
Le Beau Gosse silk

At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Ballarat Mdn-Sw May 24 over 7 ½f defeating Best Terms carrying 131lbs at $3.40. The start before that came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Warrnambool 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 7f, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Shoma with 131lbs at $3.10. Should be further improved with the blinkers going on.

3rd Pick
2

Le Beau Gosse

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Symon Wilde

J: Non Runner

T: Symon Wilde

119---1%

Scratched

Analysis

At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Ballarat Mdn-Sw May 24 over 7 ½f defeating Best Terms carrying 131lbs at $3.40. The start before that came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Warrnambool 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 7f, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Shoma with 131lbs at $3.10. Should be further improved with the blinkers going on.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.