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6:35 AM

AU - Morphettville - Race 8

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
12.5f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
714.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AFTER SUMMER (14) brings strong Sydney form and is a proven stayer at this level. The wide draw is a hurdle, but with a touch of Egan magic she should be right there fighting out the finish again. ACCIDENTAL BID (17) is full of upside and profiles similarly to a high-class SA Derby winner Russian Camelot. He maps for a soft run and looks a very capable type. ENGINE OF WAR (8) finished off well from the back behind Impulsive Reaction in the Chairman's here last week. He backs up quickly and should relish the rise to 1 ?/16m. SILVASISTA (15) made it two dominant wins on the bounce when taking out the St Leger last week. Also on the quick back-up, she's sure to loom as a major threat at some stage. KAZARU (16) has had little luck in her past two but has been hitting the line strongly. The draw makes things tricky, but she's one to watch late at big odds.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
14
After Summer silk

Form hard to fault. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Randwick in the G1 Atc Oaks on April 11 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Ohope Wins with 123lbs at $9.50. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Rosehill in the G1 Vinerystud on March 28 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, nose behind Belle Cheval with 123lbs at $61. Brings the right form lines and looks tough to beat.

1st Pick
14

After Summer

Jockey: Billy Egan

Trainer: Dominic Sutton

J: Billy Egan

T: Dominic Sutton

156---17%5/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Randwick in the G1 Atc Oaks on April 11 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Ohope Wins with 123lbs at $9.50. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Rosehill in the G1 Vinerystud on March 28 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, nose behind Belle Cheval with 123lbs at $61. Brings the right form lines and looks tough to beat.

17
Accidental Bid silk

Third-up today. First-up favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw March 19 over 1m in soft going defeating Shindy with 130lbs at $3.20. Second run from a spell favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 7 len at Pakenham Bm62 April 16 over 1 ¼m in heavy going defeating Diamond Gust carrying 133lbs at $3.20. Racing well. Very attractive profile.

2nd Pick
17

Accidental Bid

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: John Allen

T: Ciaron Maher

92---27%11/4

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw March 19 over 1m in soft going defeating Shindy with 130lbs at $3.20. Second run from a spell favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 7 len at Pakenham Bm62 April 16 over 1 ¼m in heavy going defeating Diamond Gust carrying 133lbs at $3.20. Racing well. Very attractive profile.

8
Engine Of War silk

Last start 4th of 11 at this track in the G3 Chairmans on April 25 over 1 ¼m, 2.25 len behind Impulsive Reaction carrying 127lbs at $6.50. Before that 7th of 10 at Caulfield Bm74 on April 4 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Mukhtalif with 118lbs at $5. Built nicely towards target, can execute now.

3rd Pick
8

Engine Of War

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Daniel Stackhouse

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

118---10%10/1

Analysis

Last start 4th of 11 at this track in the G3 Chairmans on April 25 over 1 ¼m, 2.25 len behind Impulsive Reaction carrying 127lbs at $6.50. Before that 7th of 10 at Caulfield Bm74 on April 4 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Mukhtalif with 118lbs at $5. Built nicely towards target, can execute now.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.