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5:55 AM

AU - Morphettville - Race 7

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
8f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
85.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROHESIA (6) was impressive in the H C Nitschke Stakes, cruising past them in the straight with something in hand. The step up to a mile looks ideal and she can make it three straight. GOLD COAST BELLE (7) has strong backing after back-to-back wins in Melbourne. She also shapes as one who'll relish the mile. YELLOWJACKET (12) is building nicely and has shown glimpses of real ability. The key booking of Williams and an A1 draw both enhance her chances. No surprise to see her put it all together here. COMMON INTEREST (4) was dominant in a midweek CL1 and backs up quickly. He looks above average and retains Toeroek. BOOTLEGGER (1) is a consistent type who always gives his all. Back to the mile after the PA Guineas, he brings ratings that stack up and shouldn't be dismissed.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Rohesia silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 1.5 len at Morphettville Parks LR Nitschke April 18 over 7f defeating More Than Hope carrying 119lbs at $3. The run before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Ballarat Cl3 April 3 over 7f defeating Mr Blunt carrying 117lbs at $3.50. In form and looks a top chance again.

1st Pick
6

Rohesia

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Daniel Stackhouse

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

165---34%2/1

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 1.5 len at Morphettville Parks LR Nitschke April 18 over 7f defeating More Than Hope carrying 119lbs at $3. The run before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Ballarat Cl3 April 3 over 7f defeating Mr Blunt carrying 117lbs at $3.50. In form and looks a top chance again.

7
Gold Coast Belle silk

Dual acceptor. Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 len at Caulfield F&M Bm74 April 11 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Terrestar carrying 126lbs at $2.30. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2.5 len at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 March 25 over 7f on a soft track defeating Dirty Look with 131lbs at $2.70. Terrific chance to continue the strong form.

2nd Pick
7

Gold Coast Belle

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Danny O'brien

J: Non Runner

T: Danny O'brien

161---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 len at Caulfield F&M Bm74 April 11 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Terrestar carrying 126lbs at $2.30. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2.5 len at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 March 25 over 7f on a soft track defeating Dirty Look with 131lbs at $2.70. Terrific chance to continue the strong form.

12
Yellowjacket silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Caulfield 3yo F Hcp on April 4 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Extragalactic carrying 119lbs at $8. Second-up 4th of 11 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Nitschke on April 18 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Rohesia with 119lbs at $3.20. Building nicely and looms a major threat.

3rd Pick
12

Yellowjacket

Jockey: Craig Williams

Trainer: Phillip Stokes

J: Craig Williams

T: Phillip Stokes

86---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Caulfield 3yo F Hcp on April 4 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Extragalactic carrying 119lbs at $8. Second-up 4th of 11 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Nitschke on April 18 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Rohesia with 119lbs at $3.20. Building nicely and looms a major threat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.