AU - Morphettville - Race 6

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

16.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CREEK (5) is busting to break through and gets a perfect chance returning from the city. The one he chased last time looks quite handy, and the runner-up Swiftie Harriet has since won in Victoria. Peaking now and is the one to beat. ANDREW'S MEMORY (4) never looked likely last time in town but warmed late. Better suited back at this level and is a genuine hope on best form. NOSIE BY NATURE (10) gave backers a great sight last time at Gawler, only to be gunned down late. Back on track and can give this a shake. LASTAR (9) doesn't win out of turn but has claims on best efforts and gets in light with the 7lbs claimer engaged. One to keep safe in the minors.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 11 at Morphettville Parks Cl1 on November 29 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Autumn Frost with 129lbs at $4. The run before that 2nd of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ Cl1 on November 19 over 6f, nose behind Garcon Renard carrying 132lbs at $5. Will prove hard to beat again. 1st Pick 5 Creek Jockey: Jake Toeroek Trainer: Paula Trenwith J: Jake Toeroek T: Paula Trenwith	133	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 11 at Morphettville Parks Cl1 on November 29 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Autumn Frost with 129lbs at $4. The run before that 2nd of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ Cl1 on November 19 over 6f, nose behind Garcon Renard carrying 132lbs at $5. Will prove hard to beat again.
4	At the latest run eased back early on 11th of 15 at this track Riziz Bm68 on November 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Ginger Sinner with 122lbs at $21. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at this track Cg&E Bm62 on November 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Conni Island with 128lbs at $5. Definite winning chance. Can feature in the finish. 2nd Pick 4 Andrew's Memory Jockey: Ben Price Trainer: Dan Shepherd J: Ben Price T: Dan Shepherd	88	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At the latest run eased back early on 11th of 15 at this track Riziz Bm68 on November 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Ginger Sinner with 122lbs at $21. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at this track Cg&E Bm62 on November 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Conni Island with 128lbs at $5. Definite winning chance. Can feature in the finish.
10	Recent form sound. At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Gawler Cl1 on November 26 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Silver Chaos with 127lbs at $13. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Balaklava Bm56 on November 12 over 5 ¼f, 5 len behind Mercury Eight carrying 127lbs at $5. Expected to be very competitive. 3rd Pick 10 Nosie By Nature Jockey: Jade Doyle Trainer: Craig Curtis J: Jade Doyle T: Craig Curtis	99	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Gawler Cl1 on November 26 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Silver Chaos with 127lbs at $13. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Balaklava Bm56 on November 12 over 5 ¼f, 5 len behind Mercury Eight carrying 127lbs at $5. Expected to be very competitive.

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