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2:22 AM

AU - Morphettville - Race 1

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
10f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
53.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STRAAND DEAL (4) has been building the right platform, hitting the line well when resuming and then leaving himself with too much to do at Caulfield but still warming late, and now third up with blinkers on and Zahra sticking he looks the clear one to beat. EISMOND (7) is the fascinating Japanese import who stretched out stylishly to score on Australian debut over this trip and is sure to have tightened since, making her a genuine threat. TYUSIX (6) doesn't win out of turn but is honest and consistent enough to be in the fight again. AITCH D'AMICO (8) keeps threatening without landing the blow and has proven frustrating for punters but his best is good enough if he finally produces it. TALISAY (5) has been well below her best in her past two after a solid return but comes in off a quick freshen and is worth keeping safe in wider exotics.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Straand Deal silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on March 18 over 7 ½f, 1.75 len behind Grand Omaha with 133lbs at $10. Second run from a spell got back early 7th of 10 at Caulfield Bm74 on April 11 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Bring Forth with 126lbs at $4.60. Peaking now and should be sharpened by the blinkers.

1st Pick
4

Straand Deal

Jockey: Mark Zahra

Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell

J: Mark Zahra

T: Lloyd Kennewell

171---43%11/8

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on March 18 over 7 ½f, 1.75 len behind Grand Omaha with 133lbs at $10. Second run from a spell got back early 7th of 10 at Caulfield Bm74 on April 11 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Bring Forth with 126lbs at $4.60. Peaking now and should be sharpened by the blinkers.

7
Eismond silk

Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after eight months won by 1.3 len at Stawell Mdn-Sw April 17 over 1 ¼m defeating Finance Merchant carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 7th of 10 at Kyoto on October 19 2024 over 1m, 5 len behind Blooming Rose carrying 121lbs at $5.70. Intriguing ex-Japanese runner who looks handy.

2nd Pick
7

Eismond

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Andrew Bobbin

J: John Allen

T: Andrew Bobbin

103---34%2/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after eight months won by 1.3 len at Stawell Mdn-Sw April 17 over 1 ¼m defeating Finance Merchant carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 7th of 10 at Kyoto on October 19 2024 over 1m, 5 len behind Blooming Rose carrying 121lbs at $5.70. Intriguing ex-Japanese runner who looks handy.

6
Tyusix silk

Racing well recently. Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at Ballarat Bm66 on April 3 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Bold Strike carrying 119lbs at $13. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Morphettville Parks Bm68 on March 14 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Burning Bright carrying 123lbs at $4.60. One of the contenders.

3rd Pick
6

Tyusix

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury

J: Jason Holder

T: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury

130---17%5/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at Ballarat Bm66 on April 3 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Bold Strike carrying 119lbs at $13. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Morphettville Parks Bm68 on March 14 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Burning Bright carrying 123lbs at $4.60. One of the contenders.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.