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6:26 AM

AU - Gawler - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CALLISTEMON (3) earns top billing off a sharp Swan Hill third, beaten just over half a length after giving a strong sight over 1m. She rises from country grade into a stronger assignment and is yet to win at around this trip, but the quick back-up suits and her best recent form reads well enough. Key runner. EMPIRESTATEOFMIND (4) comes through the key local reference, finishing second to Win To Retire in a BM56 at this track after covering ground, and his one start at the distance produced a placing. The class rise is the reservation, but he is holding his form. MR RIBTICKLER (1) was dominant winning a Mdn here by three lengths as a short-priced favourite and has Rochelle Milnes back aboard, though he now has to prove that form in BM60 company over further. WIN TO RETIRE (6) is the proven track-and-trip runner, having beaten Empirestateofmind here last start in BM56 grade, and her consistency keeps her right in the mix despite the rise in grade.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Callistemon silk

Comes here on the quick back-up after a brave third at Swan Hill, beaten just over half a length by Habitual after leading and only being caught late. That was a good response to a plain BM64 run at Morphettville where she was favourite but covered ground and made no impression. Despite the stronger task, she looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
3

Callistemon

Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe

Trainer: Cindy Brander

J: Stacey Metcalfe

T: Cindy Brander

127---14%13/2

Analysis

Comes here on the quick back-up after a brave third at Swan Hill, beaten just over half a length by Habitual after leading and only being caught late. That was a good response to a plain BM64 run at Morphettville where she was favourite but covered ground and made no impression. Despite the stronger task, she looks the one to beat.

4
Empirestateofmind silk

Put himself right into the race with a good second in a BM56 at this track, beaten a length by Win To Retire after covering ground and laying in late. His previous fifth in a Class 1 over 1 5/16m here was only fair, but he has placed at this distance and is rated highly on time figures. The class rise is there, but he can win.

2nd Pick
4

Empirestateofmind

Jockey: Ben Price

Trainer: Travis Doudle

J: Ben Price

T: Travis Doudle

104---15%6/1

Analysis

Put himself right into the race with a good second in a BM56 at this track, beaten a length by Win To Retire after covering ground and laying in late. His previous fifth in a Class 1 over 1 5/16m here was only fair, but he has placed at this distance and is rated highly on time figures. The class rise is there, but he can win.

1
Mr Ribtickler silk

Made the expected breakthrough as a dominant odds-on favourite in a Mdn over 7 ½f at this track, sitting handy before putting three lengths on Mizzen Jib. He had been solid here on soft ground the start prior when third, beaten just over half a length after racing wide. The longer trip is the query, but he brings a strong profile.

3rd Pick
1

Mr Ribtickler

Jockey: Rochelle Milnes

Trainer: Kristi Evans

J: Rochelle Milnes

T: Kristi Evans

112---14%13/2

Analysis

Made the expected breakthrough as a dominant odds-on favourite in a Mdn over 7 ½f at this track, sitting handy before putting three lengths on Mizzen Jib. He had been solid here on soft ground the start prior when third, beaten just over half a length after racing wide. The longer trip is the query, but he brings a strong profile.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.