AU - Gawler - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

16.1K

VIEW

Verdict

KERSEE (3) impressed fresh when chasing into the placings at Murray Bridge and had excuses last start in town. Third-up, with Toeroek taking the reins, she looks well placed in easier company and is the one to beat. SILVER CHAOS (7) has been knocking on the door, unlucky not to score in her last two. She backs up quickly, draws the inside, and there's plenty to like about her chances. GLASS BAY (4) broke through stylishly two back and backed it up with a brave effort here at long odds, missing narrowly. Peaking now and can be right in the finish. ICONIC JEWEL (2) resumes off sharp lead-up work. May need the run after a long break but is worth including. SIX STARS (8) has been inconsistent but has been freshened with 40 days and tuned up with two jumpouts. Capable of surprising and shouldn't be dismissed.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 8 at Murray Bridge Cl2 on October 29 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Angel Torque carrying 119lbs at $15. Last start ran last of 9 at Morphettville Parks F&M Bm68 on November 15 over 6 ¼f, 7 len behind Palm Of Jumeirah carrying 117lbs at $18. Rates highly. Prepared to overlook that last run, expecting sharp improvement. 1st Pick 3 Kersee Jockey: Jake Toeroek Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly J: Jake Toeroek T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly	171	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 8 at Murray Bridge Cl2 on October 29 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Angel Torque carrying 119lbs at $15. Last start ran last of 9 at Morphettville Parks F&M Bm68 on November 15 over 6 ¼f, 7 len behind Palm Of Jumeirah carrying 117lbs at $18. Rates highly. Prepared to overlook that last run, expecting sharp improvement.
7	Form hard to fault. Most recently came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ Cl1 on November 19 over 6f, neck behind Garcon Renard carrying 126lbs at $7. The run before that 2nd of 13 at this track 0-56 on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Justica's Bonus with 128lbs at $7. Will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 7 Silver Chaos Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Roslyn Day J: Connor Murtagh T: Roslyn Day	142	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ Cl1 on November 19 over 6f, neck behind Garcon Renard carrying 126lbs at $7. The run before that 2nd of 13 at this track 0-56 on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Justica's Bonus with 128lbs at $7. Will take plenty of beating.
4	Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 13 at this track 0-56 on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Justica's Bonus carrying 128lbs at $20. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 3.5 len at Clare 3yo+ Mdn-Sw October 26 over 6f on a soft track defeating Oldpop carrying 123lbs at $9. Will prove a tough nut to crack. 3rd Pick 4 Glass Bay Jockey: Sairyn Fawke Trainer: James Short J: Sairyn Fawke T: James Short	111	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 13 at this track 0-56 on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Justica's Bonus carrying 128lbs at $20. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 3.5 len at Clare 3yo+ Mdn-Sw October 26 over 6f on a soft track defeating Oldpop carrying 123lbs at $9. Will prove a tough nut to crack.

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