AU - Gawler - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

17.2K

VIEW

Verdict

TOFINO (5) exceeded market expectation last start, and the form around that race has since held up strongly. She strips fitter third-up and draws far kinder. Big chance to repeat the dose. WILD WILLY (2) has built nicely this prep and should be at his peak now. The rise in trip suits, Opperman sticks, and he gets a terrific chance to finally snap a long run of outs. SPIRIT OF FLIGHT (6) has also been below her best of late, but this shapes as the right race to rebound. The 7lbs claim gets her in light, and she's the type who can burst through late if things fall her way. GRINZINGER ALLEE (13) was too bad to be true last time but was ticking along nicely prior. Gets in light with the claims and is worth another chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Nhill Bm52 on December 26 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Whistler Girl carrying 129lbs at $7. Second-up won by a nose at Strathalbyn 0-56 January 4 over 1m defeating Didwewin with 125lbs at $31. Well placed. Key chance who can go close. 1st Pick 5 Tofino Jockey: Margaret Collett Trainer: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury J: Margaret Collett T: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury	108	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Nhill Bm52 on December 26 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Whistler Girl carrying 129lbs at $7. Second-up won by a nose at Strathalbyn 0-56 January 4 over 1m defeating Didwewin with 125lbs at $31. Well placed. Key chance who can go close.
2	Most recently came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Penola Bm56 on January 16 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Kikorangi with 133lbs at $4.40. The start before that 6th of 12 at Terang Bm56 on January 2 over 1m, 4 len behind The Daily Planet with 129lbs at $11. Good effort last start and can build on that performance. 2nd Pick 2 Wild Willy Jockey: Jacob Opperman Trainer: Jamie Opperman J: Jacob Opperman T: Jamie Opperman	143	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Most recently came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Penola Bm56 on January 16 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Kikorangi with 133lbs at $4.40. The start before that 6th of 12 at Terang Bm56 on January 2 over 1m, 4 len behind The Daily Planet with 129lbs at $11. Good effort last start and can build on that performance.
10	Comes off a 38 day let-up. Last start 5th of 8 at Mt Gambier Cl1-Sw on December 21 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Squander carrying 121lbs at $3.80. The start before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 9th of 12 at Ararat 0 - 56 on November 25 over 1m, 7 len behind Sharma Princess carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Must improve sharply. 3rd Pick 10 Cut No Ice Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Gary & Dean Alexander J: Non Runner T: Gary & Dean Alexander	54	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Comes off a 38 day let-up. Last start 5th of 8 at Mt Gambier Cl1-Sw on December 21 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Squander carrying 121lbs at $3.80. The start before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 9th of 12 at Ararat 0 - 56 on November 25 over 1m, 7 len behind Sharma Princess carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Must improve sharply.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.