AU - Gawler - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.4f

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

17.2K

VIEW

Verdict

HAMNER SPRINGS (1) keeps finding one or two better but is edging closer, beaten under a length last start at Oakbank as favourite. He backs up quickly, draws well again, and doesn't need to improve much to finally land that second win. YOUBEEFORTY (3) had genuine excuses when a well-beaten favourite at Oakbank, and his form prior reads well for this. The quick back-up and the Murtagh booking both signal intent. Major player. IMPENDING FURY (8) didn't fire last time but now rises sharply in trip, which looks suitable. Holder going back on is a strong lead. THE HIGHLANDER (4) was brave breaking his maiden at Strathalbyn. This is tougher, but he's progressive enough to warrant inclusion.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Oakbank 0-56 on January 21 over 1 ³/16m, 0.7 len behind Galloping Guru carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Before that eased back early on 5th of 8 at Murray Bridge Bm66 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Full Of Courage carrying 112lbs at $12. Expected to be very competitive. 1st Pick 1 Hamner Springs Jockey: Alyssa Webb Trainer: Grant Young J: Alyssa Webb T: Grant Young	137	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Oakbank 0-56 on January 21 over 1 ³/16m, 0.7 len behind Galloping Guru carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Before that eased back early on 5th of 8 at Murray Bridge Bm66 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Full Of Courage carrying 112lbs at $12. Expected to be very competitive.
3	Most recently ran last of 13 at Oakbank Cl1-Sw on January 21 over 1 ³/16m, 19 len behind Prince Lucifer carrying 130lbs at $3.40. The run before that 7th of 10 at Morphettville Bm78 on December 27 over 1/16m, 6 len behind Kirkliston Blu with 119lbs at $17. Hard to beat on his best form. 2nd Pick 3 Youbeeforty Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Nicole Irwin J: Connor Murtagh T: Nicole Irwin	145	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently ran last of 13 at Oakbank Cl1-Sw on January 21 over 1 ³/16m, 19 len behind Prince Lucifer carrying 130lbs at $3.40. The run before that 7th of 10 at Morphettville Bm78 on December 27 over 1/16m, 6 len behind Kirkliston Blu with 119lbs at $17. Hard to beat on his best form.
8	At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 1m, 3 len behind She's The Rumour with 125lbs at $3.70. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on January 4 over 1m, long-neck behind Midlife Crisis with 125lbs at $7.50. Among the better chances in this line up. 3rd Pick 8 Impending Fury Jockey: Jason Holder Trainer: Stephen Theodore J: Jason Holder T: Stephen Theodore	136	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 1m, 3 len behind She's The Rumour with 125lbs at $3.70. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on January 4 over 1m, long-neck behind Midlife Crisis with 125lbs at $7.50. Among the better chances in this line up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.