AU - Gawler - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

10.4f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

16.1K

VIEW

Verdict

PAGANINI (5) closed off nicely into second over 1 ?m at Morphettville last start and looks primed to go one better. The rise in trip suits perfectly, he's rock-hard fit now, and with Murtagh aboard he gets his chance to break through. FIORA BLUE (7) continues to improve, narrowly missing at Strathalbyn two back before sticking on gamely into the placings here last time behind a smart winner. She sets up nicely again and is a genuine threat. FOXY EAGLE (8) has been frustrating to follow but has shown glimpses of ability that can measure up. Worth keeping safe as an each-way play. THAVMA (6) was sound two back in town but poor last start. Capable of sneaking into the frame if he brings his best. DEXTER DREAM (2) showed improvement last time and looks the best of the rest in a race that falls away quickly.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Youbeeforty carrying 128lbs at $4. The race before that 3rd of 9 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 7 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Fiabesca with 128lbs at $5.50. Doesn't need to improve a great deal to take this out. 1st Pick 5 Paganini Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Jon O'connor J: Connor Murtagh T: Jon O'connor	121	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Youbeeforty carrying 128lbs at $4. The race before that 3rd of 9 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 7 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Fiabesca with 128lbs at $5.50. Doesn't need to improve a great deal to take this out.
7	Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at this track Cl1-Sw on November 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 7 len behind Taken On Faith with 121lbs at $4. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 0.8 len behind Annanda with 123lbs at $21. Hard to beat if she brings her A-game. 2nd Pick 7 Fiora Blue Jockey: Teagan Voorham Trainer: G & N Searle & B Callanan J: Teagan Voorham T: G & N Searle & B Callanan	109	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at this track Cl1-Sw on November 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 7 len behind Taken On Faith with 121lbs at $4. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 0.8 len behind Annanda with 123lbs at $21. Hard to beat if she brings her A-game.
8	At the latest run 6th of 11 at Balaklava 0-56 on November 12 over 1m, 4 len behind Greatestofease with 119lbs at $61. The run before that 4th of 7 at Morphettville Bm56 on November 4 over 1/16m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Ambitious Creek with 119lbs at $16. Holds genuine claims on best efforts. 3rd Pick 8 Foxy Eagle Jockey: Wesley Cave Trainer: Trevor Day J: Wesley Cave T: Trevor Day	105	-	-	-	5%
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 11 at Balaklava 0-56 on November 12 over 1m, 4 len behind Greatestofease with 119lbs at $61. The run before that 4th of 7 at Morphettville Bm56 on November 4 over 1/16m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Ambitious Creek with 119lbs at $16. Holds genuine claims on best efforts.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.