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6:50 AM

AU - Bordertown - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7.7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
13.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SHALHAVMUSIK (12) is the one to beat after consecutive wins at Gawler and Murray Bridge, the latest a one-length BM58 success where she finished powerfully after being well found in betting. The rise to BM68 is the query, but she drops to 119lbs and has already built a solid record at this distance. On top. TYUSIX (5) brings stronger grade references, having been fifth in a BM80 at Morphettville after early and home-turn interference and only just missed in Open grade the run prior. Key runner. WIND RUSH (10) beat Bayou Music by just under four lengths in a metro Class 2 last start and comes here on the quick back-up with Todd Pannell staying aboard. BAYOU MUSIC (8) has the inside draw, first-time blinkers and a strong wet-track profile, but must bridge a clear margin on Wind Rush from their recent meeting.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Shalhavmusik silk

Arrives in winning form after scoring at Murray Bdge in BM58 grade, finishing powerfully to beat Flying Ace by a length after being near the top of betting. She had also won at Gawler in BM56 grade, so the form pattern is clear. Rises to BM68, but 119lbs and proven 7 ¾f form make her the one to beat.

1st Pick
12

Shalhavmusik

Jockey: Will Price

Trainer: Grant Young

J: Will Price

T: Grant Young

74---14%13/2

Analysis

Arrives in winning form after scoring at Murray Bdge in BM58 grade, finishing powerfully to beat Flying Ace by a length after being near the top of betting. She had also won at Gawler in BM56 grade, so the form pattern is clear. Rises to BM68, but 119lbs and proven 7 ¾f form make her the one to beat.

5
Tyusix silk

Had genuine excuses in Saturday company at Morphettville last start, being tightened at the start and suffering home-turn interference before finishing fifth in a BM80, beaten just over three lengths. She had been beaten just over half a length in Open grade at Manangatang the run prior. Proven at the trip and the 4lbs claim keeps her right in play.

2nd Pick
5

Tyusix

Jockey: Jemma Gutte

Trainer: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury

J: Jemma Gutte

T: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury

112---17%5/1

Analysis

Had genuine excuses in Saturday company at Morphettville last start, being tightened at the start and suffering home-turn interference before finishing fifth in a BM80, beaten just over three lengths. She had been beaten just over half a length in Open grade at Manangatang the run prior. Proven at the trip and the 4lbs claim keeps her right in play.

10
Wind Rush silk

Put the race away strongly at Morphettville last start, winning a metro Class 2 by just under four lengths from Bayou Music after being near the top of betting. The quick back-up is a positive and Todd Pannell stays with him, while two wins and two placings from eight starts at this distance add substance. Proven at the trip and hard to dismiss.

3rd Pick
10

Wind Rush

Jockey: Todd Pannell

Trainer: Michael Hickmott

J: Todd Pannell

T: Michael Hickmott

139---31%9/4

Analysis

Put the race away strongly at Morphettville last start, winning a metro Class 2 by just under four lengths from Bayou Music after being near the top of betting. The quick back-up is a positive and Todd Pannell stays with him, while two wins and two placings from eight starts at this distance add substance. Proven at the trip and hard to dismiss.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.