AU - Bordertown - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough. SUPREME THUNDER (3) has been knocking on the door from wide barriers and draws inside here. Came from last beaten a nose at Murray Bridge and then made solid inroads at Naracoorte. The extra metres suit and sitting handier, this is winnable. LUMBER DREAM (2) has been plainer his last two, but his two runs prior read well enough. Murtagh replaces the apprentice and he will be hitting the line back in grade. SUNSET PRAYER (11) improved at Mt Gambier two back and stepping up to this distance should suit. She placed her only start here and should be around the mark. EVERYTHINGISAUTUMN (12) is a former Victorian who has needed her two start for the new yard. Maps well today and we are likely to see improvement.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run 5th of 12 at Naracoorte 0-54 on April 19 over 7f, 2 len behind Frankel Star carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 13 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on April 10 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Last War with 130lbs at $8.50. Rates highly and can break through. 1st Pick 3 Supreme Thunder Jockey: Jackson Murphy Trainer: Jamie Opperman J: Jackson Murphy T: Jamie Opperman	119	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 12 at Naracoorte 0-54 on April 19 over 7f, 2 len behind Frankel Star carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 13 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on April 10 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Last War with 130lbs at $8.50. Rates highly and can break through.
2	At the latest run 7th of 13 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on April 22 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Head Of The Herd with 127lbs at $19. The start before that second last of 10 at Balaklava Bm60 on April 15 over 1m, 10 len behind Midlife Crisis with 129lbs at $13. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 2nd Pick 2 Lumber Dream Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Connor Murtagh T: Garret Lynch	158	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 13 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on April 22 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Head Of The Herd with 127lbs at $19. The start before that second last of 10 at Balaklava Bm60 on April 15 over 1m, 10 len behind Midlife Crisis with 129lbs at $13. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.
11	Most recently eased back early on 7th of 11 at Naracoorte 0-54 on April 19 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Tanna carrying 127lbs at $19. Before that 4th of 10 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on March 13 over 6f, 2 len behind Bare To Witness carrying 125lbs at $8. Has claims. 3rd Pick 11 Sunset Prayer Jockey: Teagan Voorham Trainer: Dean Saxon J: Teagan Voorham T: Dean Saxon	68	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Most recently eased back early on 7th of 11 at Naracoorte 0-54 on April 19 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Tanna carrying 127lbs at $19. Before that 4th of 10 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on March 13 over 6f, 2 len behind Bare To Witness carrying 125lbs at $8. Has claims.

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