AU - Bordertown - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

13.0K

VIEW

Verdict

ZAIN PRINCE (5) returned to somewhere near his best last time when leading, only to be nabbed late. Backs up quickly and is drawn to advantage. Can go one better. SUPREME THUNDER (7) will get back again from the draw, but with genuine pace engaged he gets the chance to reel them in late. ROKABYE WARRIOR (4) disappointed at the midweeks when dropping out the back but backs up quickly and is worth forgiving. DON'T MATTA ME (15) was a sharp improver at Penhurst when closing off quickly from the back. Will drift back again but gets the tempo to launch late. Don't dismiss third up. SEE DE NIGHT (6) drove hard to arrive just in time at Mt Gambier. This is tougher but he deserves respect.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Murray Bridge 0-58 on December 7 over 1m, neck behind Lucas The Younger carrying 123lbs at $4. The run before that second last of 14 at Morphettville Bm72 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 13 len behind Worsfold carrying 120lbs at $20. Winning chance. 1st Pick 5 Zain Prince Jockey: Tala Hutchinson Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Tala Hutchinson T: Garret Lynch	150	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Murray Bridge 0-58 on December 7 over 1m, neck behind Lucas The Younger carrying 123lbs at $4. The run before that second last of 14 at Morphettville Bm72 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 13 len behind Worsfold carrying 120lbs at $20. Winning chance.
7	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 7th of 9 at Naracoorte Bm68 on November 2 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Hidden Bounty with 115lbs at $14. Second run from a spell 3rd of 13 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on November 28 over 7f, 1.1 len behind See De Night carrying 132lbs at $20. Will take some stopping. 2nd Pick 7 Supreme Thunder Jockey: Jacob Opperman Trainer: Jamie Opperman J: Jacob Opperman T: Jamie Opperman	129	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 7th of 9 at Naracoorte Bm68 on November 2 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Hidden Bounty with 115lbs at $14. Second run from a spell 3rd of 13 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on November 28 over 7f, 1.1 len behind See De Night carrying 132lbs at $20. Will take some stopping.
4	Last start second last of 12 at Strathalbyn 0-56 on December 10 over 1m, 12 len behind Allegedly with 131lbs at $4.40. The race before that 3rd of 11 at Balaklava Bm56 on December 3 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Magic Princess carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Can return to form. 3rd Pick 4 Rokabye Warrior Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Unknown Jockey T: Garret Lynch	136	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start second last of 12 at Strathalbyn 0-56 on December 10 over 1m, 12 len behind Allegedly with 131lbs at $4.40. The race before that 3rd of 11 at Balaklava Bm56 on December 3 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Magic Princess carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Can return to form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.