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5:56 AM

AU - Bordertown - Race 7

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
9.9f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
26.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

IMPOSING SUSPECT (4) has returned in good order and looks ready to peak fourth up. The rise in trip is ideal and he's drawn to enjoy the suck run. Shapes as the one to beat. HASTA LA FIORENTE (3) has also come back well and is set to peak. Expect him to roll forward and give backers a sight at a track he knows. Not to be underestimated. CHAIRMAN (5) was dominant at Penhurst when leading throughout. Meech sticks and he's capable of repeating the dose. FOX GEM (9) has built steadily into this and looks ready to put it all together stepping out to this journey. Will drift back early but be charging hard late. BOLT BY (2) is in a purple patch with back to back wins. The horror draw is the query, but he's racing too well to dismiss.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Imposing Suspect silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at Morphettville Bm70 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Oxford Blue with 131lbs at $4.80. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at this track Bm66 November 14 over 7 ¾f defeating Hasta La Oriental with 131lbs at $3.60. Better suited back to this grade.

1st Pick
4

Imposing Suspect

Jockey: Caitlin Jones

Trainer: Sarah Rutten

J: Caitlin Jones

T: Sarah Rutten

135---17%5/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at Morphettville Bm70 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Oxford Blue with 131lbs at $4.80. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at this track Bm66 November 14 over 7 ¾f defeating Hasta La Oriental with 131lbs at $3.60. Better suited back to this grade.

3
Hasta La Fiorente silk

Last start 8th of 11 at Morphettville Bm70 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Oxford Blue carrying 136lbs at $26. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 9 at Naracoorte Bm68 on November 2 over 7f, slow going neck behind Hidden Bounty carrying 138lbs at $11. Can improve on the latest effort and is expected to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
3

Hasta La Fiorente

Jockey: Campbell Rawiller

Trainer: Sue Murphy

J: Campbell Rawiller

T: Sue Murphy

108---10%10/1

Analysis

Last start 8th of 11 at Morphettville Bm70 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Oxford Blue carrying 136lbs at $26. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 9 at Naracoorte Bm68 on November 2 over 7f, slow going neck behind Hidden Bounty carrying 138lbs at $11. Can improve on the latest effort and is expected to be in the finish.

5
Chairman silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run won by 1.3 len at Penshurst Penshurst Cup November 22 over 1 ¼m defeating Crafty Boss with 121lbs at $3.60. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Donald Bm66 on November 16 over 1m, head behind Ahab carrying 128lbs at $5. Got the job done last time and is a leading hope again.

3rd Pick
5

Chairman

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Paul Preusker

J: Linda Meech

T: Paul Preusker

112---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run won by 1.3 len at Penshurst Penshurst Cup November 22 over 1 ¼m defeating Crafty Boss with 121lbs at $3.60. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Donald Bm66 on November 16 over 1m, head behind Ahab carrying 128lbs at $5. Got the job done last time and is a leading hope again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).