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6:20 AM

AU - Balaklava - Race 8

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
21.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BAYOU MUSIC (5) showed talent last season when trained in Victoria, and he returns fresh up for the Clarken/Sorby stable with some improving trial form under his belt. He benefits from a 4lbs claim, and at this suitable level, he is the one to beat for us. SUPER LAD (1) was outpaced fresh up in a tougher field at Morphettville 11 days ago after some solid lead-up trial form, and he will be a lot sharper second up. A 4lbs claim will negate the weight rise, and he can have a say in the finish of this race. BRAVE APACHE (6) will be having his first run in this State after following his trainer over from WA. He has had a recent quiet trial and usually comes to hand quickly. Respect him on an each-way basis. HALLIWELL (7) ran a good race for third on a heavy track at Naracoorte nearly 3 weeks ago, and in an even contest she is one of the many top 4 hopes. Callow in the saddle is a nice lead. EMBELLISHER (8) has won here in the past and is worth including in all top 4 combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Bayou Music silk

Resumes after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 March 18 over 1m, 4 len behind Hallowed Halls with 122lbs at $3.90. First up last campaign fourth of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 Hcp January 16 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Dollar Chaser carrying 129lbs at $14. Capable of a bold return.

1st Pick
5

Bayou Music

Jockey: Jordyn Weatherley

Trainer: Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby

J: Jordyn Weatherley

T: Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby

107---20%4/1

Analysis

Resumes after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 March 18 over 1m, 4 len behind Hallowed Halls with 122lbs at $3.90. First up last campaign fourth of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 Hcp January 16 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Dollar Chaser carrying 129lbs at $14. Capable of a bold return.

1
Super Lad silk

Second run back. First-up after four months ran second last of 7 in a Bm74 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 5f, slow going 10 len behind Bristler carrying 133lbs at $21. Previously second-up ran last of 9 in a Bm82 at Murray Bridge on March 7 over 7f, 9 len behind Star Sirius carrying 122lbs at $7. Has ability and can lift.

2nd Pick
1

Super Lad

Jockey: Sophie Potter

Trainer: Chris Bieg

J: Sophie Potter

T: Chris Bieg

122---12%8/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months ran second last of 7 in a Bm74 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 5f, slow going 10 len behind Bristler carrying 133lbs at $21. Previously second-up ran last of 9 in a Bm82 at Murray Bridge on March 7 over 7f, 9 len behind Star Sirius carrying 122lbs at $7. Has ability and can lift.

6
Brave Apache silk

Resuming after a break of four months. Finished off last campaign second of 16 at Belmont Park Prov Champ Fnl May 23 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Stylin' carrying 118lbs at $12. Previous preparation first-up to post a big 3 len win. Albany Mdn November 15 over 5f defeating Calathinite with 128lbs at $8.50. Prefer to see how he returns.

3rd Pick
6

Brave Apache

Jockey: Harry Grace

Trainer: Indianna Weinert

J: Harry Grace

T: Indianna Weinert

67---10%9/1

Analysis

Resuming after a break of four months. Finished off last campaign second of 16 at Belmont Park Prov Champ Fnl May 23 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Stylin' carrying 118lbs at $12. Previous preparation first-up to post a big 3 len win. Albany Mdn November 15 over 5f defeating Calathinite with 128lbs at $8.50. Prefer to see how he returns.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.