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5:45 AM

AU - Balaklava - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
10.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
17.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SUIT OF WANDS (3) led all the way to win 2 starts back and then stepped up in class to finish runner-up in a stronger field than this off a wide gate 11 days ago. He might rise 10lbs for this, but he should still be the one to beat. CHANCE TAKEN (10) did not have all the favours as the favourite at Murray Bridge last time out and ran on well enough to finish sixth over 1 ?m. He has won over this trip of 1 ?m, and is good enough to take this out, so follow your money. EAGLELOU (6) did not run on at all last start in a tougher field, and he is much better placed in this. He has not missed a cheque in 3 starts here over the distance, including a win, and is expected to bounce back into the money here. GEETEE FORTY (12) has been thereabouts this prep, and on a wet track he is certainly worth including in all top 4 combos. TEE EIGHT (9) got home nicely for second last week at Murray Bridge, and a repeat of that run will have him in the top 3 again here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Suit Of Wands silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 14 in a 0-64 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Princess Painton carrying 126lbs at $8. The run before that won by 2.5 len in a Cl1-Sw at Strathalbyn on August 30 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Valued carrying 130lbs at $2.80. Big winning chance.

1st Pick
3

Suit Of Wands

Jockey: Rochelle Milnes

Trainer: Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby

J: Rochelle Milnes

T: Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby

125---25%3/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 14 in a 0-64 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Princess Painton carrying 126lbs at $8. The run before that won by 2.5 len in a Cl1-Sw at Strathalbyn on August 30 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Valued carrying 130lbs at $2.80. Big winning chance.

10
Chance Taken silk

Most recently 6th of 12 in a Bm56 at Murray Bridge on September 2 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Tottori carrying 125lbs at $2.50. The start before that 5th of 16 in a Bm62 at Morphettville on August 29 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Mr Trafficanti with 122lbs at $20. Is worth including in all combos.

2nd Pick
10

Chance Taken

Jockey: Dylan Caboche

Trainer: Chris Bieg

J: Dylan Caboche

T: Chris Bieg

70---9%11/1

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 12 in a Bm56 at Murray Bridge on September 2 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Tottori carrying 125lbs at $2.50. The start before that 5th of 16 in a Bm62 at Morphettville on August 29 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Mr Trafficanti with 122lbs at $20. Is worth including in all combos.

6
Eaglelou silk

At the latest run 12th of 14 in a 0-64 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 23 len behind Princess Painton carrying 126lbs at $17. Before that 8th of 14 in a 0-58 at Murray Bridge on August 12 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 4 len behind Chartin carrying 132lbs at $16. Rates highly and is worth another chance.

3rd Pick
6

Eaglelou

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Darren & Aimee Magro

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Darren & Aimee Magro

111---8%13/1

Analysis

At the latest run 12th of 14 in a 0-64 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 23 len behind Princess Painton carrying 126lbs at $17. Before that 8th of 14 in a 0-58 at Murray Bridge on August 12 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 4 len behind Chartin carrying 132lbs at $16. Rates highly and is worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.