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3:25 AM

AU - Balaklava - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
17.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MAJESTIC FURY (8) looked good at the trials before being a beaten favourite on debut at Mildura after missing the kick and running on too late to finish runner-up. She will naturally improve from that experience, and the extra 1 ½f will make her the one to beat. Follow your money. STRONG MINDED (3) has been in good form through the winter on wet tracks, finishing runner-up in his last 3 starts. He has a kind draw, and as long as the tracks remain wet, he will be very competitive again. WILLEBOB (5) only battled fresh up in his first run as a gelding, and he will don the blinkers for the first time, second up from a spell. Expect something a lot better here. Each-way. VELOCITY ROSE (10) met some trouble fresh up when bottled up on the inside, and once clear, she hit the line nicely. She won a trial before that, and with the blinkers applied, she can figure in the top 3. REGAL TIME (9) can put in the odd good run, and if she runs up to her last start, then she is worth including.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Majestic Fury silk

Was well-supported at debut, made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Mildura on September 5 over 5f, slow going 0.8 len behind Shamus In Pontivy carrying 127lbs at $1.65. Rates highly and can go to the next level.

1st Pick
8

Majestic Fury

Jockey: Jamie Melham

Trainer: Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby

J: Jamie Melham

T: Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby

182---53%10/11

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Mildura on September 5 over 5f, slow going 0.8 len behind Shamus In Pontivy carrying 127lbs at $1.65. Rates highly and can go to the next level.

3
Strong Minded silk

Form hard to fault. Last start raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Strathalbyn on August 30 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.25 len behind Expecto Patronum carrying 128lbs at $2.60. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on August 12 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.75 len behind Divergent with 128lbs at $8. Overdue and gets his chance.

2nd Pick
3

Strong Minded

Jockey: Will Price

Trainer: Mark W Lewis

J: Will Price

T: Mark W Lewis

131---23%7/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Strathalbyn on August 30 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.25 len behind Expecto Patronum carrying 128lbs at $2.60. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on August 12 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.75 len behind Divergent with 128lbs at $8. Overdue and gets his chance.

5
Willebob silk

Second-up. Promising on debut 4th of 11 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on April 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Like A Drifter carrying 127lbs at $61. Went for a break before returning 8th of 11 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Olivia Marie with 128lbs at $21. Fitter and can break through.

3rd Pick
5

Willebob

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Sarah Rutten

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Sarah Rutten

99---17%5/1

Analysis

Second-up. Promising on debut 4th of 11 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on April 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Like A Drifter carrying 127lbs at $61. Went for a break before returning 8th of 11 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Olivia Marie with 128lbs at $21. Fitter and can break through.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.