AU - Balaklava - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

11f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Race drops away quickly. SWAN DANCE (8) has placed in four of four starts, the latest a top effort in a Class 1 at Morphettville off a wide draw. Back to the right class, low draw this time and the clear one to beat. CELEMAN ZOR (7) is a former NSW galloper fitter for two runs for the new yard and now gets out to a more suitable journey. Can improve sharply. DEXTER DREAM (1) was a length off Swan Dance last time in fifth. Back to the right class and will go close. ORCHARD THIEF (4) is fitter for two runs back and can improve out in journey. KOHALA (2) ran eighth in the same race as Swan Dance and doubt he can turn the tables but can improve.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Racing well recently. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 13 at Morphettville Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Moussaka carrying 118lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 21 over 1 5/16m, 1.0 len behind Camelot Time with 128lbs at $6.50. Top run off a wide gate latest and is the one to run down this time. 1st Pick 8 Swan Dance Jockey: Alysha Warren Trainer: Gary Boyce J: Alysha Warren T: Gary Boyce	176	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 13 at Morphettville Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Moussaka carrying 118lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 21 over 1 5/16m, 1.0 len behind Camelot Time with 128lbs at $6.50. Top run off a wide gate latest and is the one to run down this time.
7	Third-up today. First-up 11th of 14 at Murray Bridge Bm62 on July 4 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Petit Eagle carrying 121lbs at $81. Last start ran last of 9 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on July 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Fight For Freedom carrying 121lbs at $10. Fitter for two runs for the new yard and will improve over the longer journey. 2nd Pick 7 Celeman Zor Jockey: Jason Holder Trainer: Grant Young J: Jason Holder T: Grant Young	116	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 11th of 14 at Murray Bridge Bm62 on July 4 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Petit Eagle carrying 121lbs at $81. Last start ran last of 9 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on July 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Fight For Freedom carrying 121lbs at $10. Fitter for two runs for the new yard and will improve over the longer journey.
1	At the latest run 5th of 13 at Morphettville Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Moussaka with 122lbs at $31. The start before that 5th of 10 at this track Cl1-Sw on June 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Reciprocal carrying 122lbs at $21. Back to ride class and worth another chance. 3rd Pick 1 Dexter Dream Jockey: Brooke King Trainer: Grant Kluske J: Brooke King T: Grant Kluske	117	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 13 at Morphettville Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Moussaka with 122lbs at $31. The start before that 5th of 10 at this track Cl1-Sw on June 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Reciprocal carrying 122lbs at $21. Back to ride class and worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.