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Resulted

AU - Nhill - Race 5

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
5.7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 3
13.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Tricky. LUNA FIELD (13) races forward and got close second-up, caught late at Stawell, beaten 2.3L. He's improved and keeps the handy 7lbs claim. Strips fitter and this is winnable. EXOTIC DANCER (12) is free running and posted a strong relative number at Clare (SA) before being swamped at Strathalbyn after crossing over from the 13 gate. Peaks today and will get it easier. Has a 4lbs claim and her chance. MISS MAGOO (5) resumed at Kyneton and didn't have the best of it late. Has plenty up her sleeve and won her only second-up outing. Quick improvement is on the cards. JUDGE KELLIE (11) is speedy and from an inside barrier she can build on her win at Swan Hill.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
13
Luna Field silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming sat on the pace before fading 11th of 14 at Donald Bm56 on December 2 over 5f, 5 len behind Elena Montero with 133lbs at $26. Second run from a spell 6th of 10 at Stawell 0 - 56 on December 13 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind My Haruconi carrying 126lbs at $6. Profiles nicely. Has the ability and a bold showing is expected.

1st Pick
13

Luna Field

Jockey: Jade Smith

Trainer: Neil Dyer

J: Jade Smith

T: Neil Dyer

121---17%

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming sat on the pace before fading 11th of 14 at Donald Bm56 on December 2 over 5f, 5 len behind Elena Montero with 133lbs at $26. Second run from a spell 6th of 10 at Stawell 0 - 56 on December 13 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind My Haruconi carrying 126lbs at $6. Profiles nicely. Has the ability and a bold showing is expected.

12
Exotic Dancer silk

At the latest run faded in the straight 9th of 13 at Strathalbyn Bm56 on December 10 over 6f, 7 len behind Florey with 123lbs at $8. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Clare 0-58 on November 23 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Chillcuz with 123lbs at $9. Expected to finish much closer.

2nd Pick
12

Exotic Dancer

Jockey: Polly Brewster

Trainer: Jessica Tzaferis

J: Polly Brewster

T: Jessica Tzaferis

106---25%

Analysis

At the latest run faded in the straight 9th of 13 at Strathalbyn Bm56 on December 10 over 6f, 7 len behind Florey with 123lbs at $8. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Clare 0-58 on November 23 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Chillcuz with 123lbs at $9. Expected to finish much closer.

5
Miss Magoo silk

Second run back. First-up after 11 months 9th of 14 at Kyneton Bm56 on December 11 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Bons To Riches carrying 132lbs at $19. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by a nose at Terang Mdn-Sw January 1 over 6f defeating Dimora Queen with 127lbs at $6. Fitter and is expected to do much better.

3rd Pick
5

Miss Magoo

Jockey: Melissa Julius

Trainer: Matthew Smerdon

J: Melissa Julius

T: Matthew Smerdon

92---10%

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after 11 months 9th of 14 at Kyneton Bm56 on December 11 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Bons To Riches carrying 132lbs at $19. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by a nose at Terang Mdn-Sw January 1 over 6f defeating Dimora Queen with 127lbs at $6. Fitter and is expected to do much better.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.