AU - Wodonga - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.2f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

15.6K

VIEW

Verdict

LIGHTNING FLASH (6) is coming off a close up fifth at Wangaratta last time having won by an effortless six lengths there prior. The wetter the better for this mare and up to 1 ¼m now looks ideal from a soft gate. Hard to hold out. MISS NIAGARA (9) missed the placings two starts back then ran a better race and finished 4.5 lengths away in fifth last time out over 1 ½m at Geelong. Tough draw but can be running on at each-way odds. PHANTOM'S CHASE (3) put in a solid run at Donald last time in similar company having won his maiden there dominantly prior. Off a decent break here is a little niggle but respecting. JUST LANDED (2) did a great job to score by one length over this course and distance last start to maintain his good form of late. Hard to knock again. HARRY CAVIAR (1) is off a maiden win and could go on with it.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	At the latest run 5th of 9 at Wangaratta on July 31 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Auto Max with 131lbs at $3.70. The race before that won by 6 len at Wangaratta on July 6 over 1m in the wet defeating Foggy Bottom carrying 127lbs at $6.50. Big chance on win two back. 1st Pick 6 Lightning Flash Jockey: Brodie Loy Trainer: Ben Brisbourne J: Brodie Loy T: Ben Brisbourne	146	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 9 at Wangaratta on July 31 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Auto Max with 131lbs at $3.70. The race before that won by 6 len at Wangaratta on July 6 over 1m in the wet defeating Foggy Bottom carrying 127lbs at $6.50. Big chance on win two back.
9	Most recently 5th of 11 at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Thunderbolt Way carrying 119lbs at $9. The run before that ran last of 10 at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Shultzy with 120lbs at $19. Worth following up. 2nd Pick 9 Miss Niagara Jockey: Valentin Le Boeuf Trainer: Stephen V Brown J: Valentin Le Boeuf T: Stephen V Brown	85	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 11 at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Thunderbolt Way carrying 119lbs at $9. The run before that ran last of 10 at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Shultzy with 120lbs at $19. Worth following up.
3	Recent form sound. Comes off a 58 day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 13 at Donald on June 20 over 1m, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Epoch with 134lbs at $4.40. The race before that favourite, won by 5.5 len at Donald on June 9 over 1m in soft going defeating Convaaya carrying 131lbs at $2.25. Will take plenty of catching. 3rd Pick 3 Phantom's Chase Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Claire Patterson J: Brad Rawiller T: Claire Patterson	88	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Recent form sound. Comes off a 58 day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 13 at Donald on June 20 over 1m, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Epoch with 134lbs at $4.40. The race before that favourite, won by 5.5 len at Donald on June 9 over 1m in soft going defeating Convaaya carrying 131lbs at $2.25. Will take plenty of catching.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.