AU - Warrnambool - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

36.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

A BM66 Handicap is over 6f for 50K, and barrier draws by this time of the day will be a big factor, especially on a heavy track. ARLINGTON ROW (11) missed the kick when knuckling over at the start last time out as the favourite at Mornington 17 days ago, and she never recovered. With a better beginning, she can make immediate amends. Follow your money. I'MATEEZ (6) showed a good turn of foot to win fresh up at Geelong just over 3 weeks ago. This is not much harder, and with the aid of a claim, he will carry a kilo less this time, so stick with him. TENNESSEE SONG (15) peaked on her run fresh up at Sandown-Lakeside nearly 3 weeks ago, and it is worth noting that Linda Meech has opted to stick with her. Each-way value. DOBKINS (14) is a local mare who has drawn the pole, which could either be a curse or a blessing. Follow the pattern of the day and react accordingly.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second run back. First-up after four months was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 1.0 len at Cranbourne Cg&E Bm62 April 17 over 5f in soft going defeating Core Concept with 136lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up won by 1.0 len at this track Bm62 October 16 over 6f in soft going defeating Solar Mist with 132lbs at $6.50. No reason he cannot keep the ball rolling. 1st Pick 3 Wolf Twenty One Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Non Runner T: Shane Jackson	119	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 1.0 len at Cranbourne Cg&E Bm62 April 17 over 5f in soft going defeating Core Concept with 136lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up won by 1.0 len at this track Bm62 October 16 over 6f in soft going defeating Solar Mist with 132lbs at $6.50. No reason he cannot keep the ball rolling.
11	At the latest run ran last of 10 at Mornington 3yo F Hcp on April 18 over 6f, 6 len behind Torsheen carrying 122lbs at $5. The start before that favourite, won by a neck at Cranbourne 3yo Bm64 February 27 over 6f defeating Hotspur Reale carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Very tough to beat. 2nd Pick 11 Arlington Row Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Jackson Radley T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	135	-	-	-	15%
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 10 at Mornington 3yo F Hcp on April 18 over 6f, 6 len behind Torsheen carrying 122lbs at $5. The start before that favourite, won by a neck at Cranbourne 3yo Bm64 February 27 over 6f defeating Hotspur Reale carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Very tough to beat.
6	Second-up. First-up after five months won by 0.5 len at Geelong Bm62 April 10 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Barari carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up won by 2.25 len at Wangaratta 3yo Mdn-Sw October 27 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Eyes Of Blue with 128lbs at $2.05. Leading contender. 3rd Pick 6 I'mateez Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Alexander Rae J: Ryan Houston T: Alexander Rae	142	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months won by 0.5 len at Geelong Bm62 April 10 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Barari carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up won by 2.25 len at Wangaratta 3yo Mdn-Sw October 27 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Eyes Of Blue with 128lbs at $2.05. Leading contender.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.