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7:00 AM

AU - Warrnambool - Race 8

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.4f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
24.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JOHNNY BE GOOD (5) produced a powerful finish from well back to grab second over 7f here last time. He looks suited by the step up in trip and should be charging home late. He can have the last say again. SEPHIA (8) had the run to suit when scoring a big win over 1 ¹/16m here last time out as the favourite on a heavy track. She stays in the same class, and an extra 4lbs should not stop her from going close to repeating the dose. LIMOSA (9) followed up her gritty win in a modest field at Mt Gambier with another bold effort to finish runner-up behind the second pick in the same race here 18 days ago. Stick with her. KINGSFORD (3) has been well below his best in two runs since a spell, including his last start when suffering a cardiac arrhythmia. He is worth another chance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Johnny Be Good silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 10th of 12 in a 3yo Bm64 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 7f, in the wet, 9 len behind Here's Matilda with 130lbs at $91. Second run from a spell 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at this track on September 3 over 7f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Budjik Boy with 131lbs at $11. Will hit the line hard.

1st Pick
5

Johnny Be Good

Jockey: Brad Rawiller

Trainer: Jamie Edwards

J: Brad Rawiller

T: Jamie Edwards

105---13%7/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 10th of 12 in a 3yo Bm64 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 7f, in the wet, 9 len behind Here's Matilda with 130lbs at $91. Second run from a spell 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at this track on September 3 over 7f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Budjik Boy with 131lbs at $11. Will hit the line hard.

8
Sephia silk

At the latest run won by 1.0 len in a Bm62 at this track on September 3 over 1 ¹/16m in heavy going defeating Limosa with 123lbs at $3.60. The start before that 5th of 14 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 14 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Deny Entry carrying 125lbs at $13. Back in form and can make it two on the bounce.

2nd Pick
8

Sephia

Jockey: Teo Nugent

Trainer: Symon Wilde

J: Teo Nugent

T: Symon Wilde

157---27%11/4

Analysis

At the latest run won by 1.0 len in a Bm62 at this track on September 3 over 1 ¹/16m in heavy going defeating Limosa with 123lbs at $3.60. The start before that 5th of 14 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 14 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Deny Entry carrying 125lbs at $13. Back in form and can make it two on the bounce.

9
Limosa silk

Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 12 in a Bm62 at this track on September 3 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Sephia with 127lbs at $21. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a head in a Bm56 at Mt Gambier on August 7 over 7 ¾f in the wet defeating Robert The Puss with 128lbs at $8.50. Tough to beat on best form.

3rd Pick
9

Limosa

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell

J: Linda Meech

T: Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell

122---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 12 in a Bm62 at this track on September 3 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Sephia with 127lbs at $21. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a head in a Bm56 at Mt Gambier on August 7 over 7 ¾f in the wet defeating Robert The Puss with 128lbs at $8.50. Tough to beat on best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.