AU - Warrnambool - Race 8

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

15.8f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

28.0K

VIEW

Verdict

A lot of these coming back from hurdling or steeplechasing which is tricky, although a few of the jumpers have scratched. On the flat, MOTIVER (6) and REDDIVO (3) bring the best form having both run in the placings in a BM56 at Geelong last time out. Motiver was third there but beaten under a length and has strong form over 1 ?m so expect he can turn the tables on Reddivo who will take holding out as well having won twice over this trip himself. GOLDEN GARDEN (8) is a class steeplechaser in great form over the obstacles. Back to flat here is the niggle but the trip suits and he should run well. EYES TO ME (9) is stuck on the 1 win from 23 starts but has been racing well and is in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on July 10 over 1 ½m, in the wet, 0.8 len behind Kazungula with 132lbs at $8. Before that 5th of 10 at Echuca Bm56 on June 23 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 11 len behind Timeonlees with 134lbs at $12. Nice effort last time. Sets up well on speed and should take beating. 1st Pick 6 Motiver Jockey: Dean Yendall Trainer: Mitchell Freedman J: Dean Yendall T: Mitchell Freedman	155	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on July 10 over 1 ½m, in the wet, 0.8 len behind Kazungula with 132lbs at $8. Before that 5th of 10 at Echuca Bm56 on June 23 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 11 len behind Timeonlees with 134lbs at $12. Nice effort last time. Sets up well on speed and should take beating.
3	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on July 10 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, nose behind Kazungula with 136lbs at $11. The run before that 4th of 10 at Bendigo Bm70 on June 13 over 2 ³/16m, slow going 4 len behind Captain Electric carrying 120lbs at $15. Big chance on past couple. 2nd Pick 3 Reddivo Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Jamie Edwards J: Teo Nugent T: Jamie Edwards	128	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on July 10 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, nose behind Kazungula with 136lbs at $11. The run before that 4th of 10 at Bendigo Bm70 on June 13 over 2 ³/16m, slow going 4 len behind Captain Electric carrying 120lbs at $15. Big chance on past couple.
7	At the latest run 6th of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on July 10 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind Kazungula carrying 128lbs at $15. Before that 4th of 10 at Echuca Bm56 on June 23 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 7 len behind Timeonlees carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Not far away last time. Going okay and will take catching. 3rd Pick 7 Triora Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Taige Weir J: Non Runner T: Taige Weir	81	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on July 10 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind Kazungula carrying 128lbs at $15. Before that 4th of 10 at Echuca Bm56 on June 23 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 7 len behind Timeonlees carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Not far away last time. Going okay and will take catching.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.