AU - Warrnambool - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

29.7K

VIEW

Verdict

DRAMATIC DREAM (3) recovered from a poor start to be beaten under a length on debut over this distance at Echuca last start. Can build on that promising effort and if he jumps a bit cleaner he is the one they have to beat. BIG VEE (2) travelled midfield but lacked a kick in a disappointing effort over this course and distance last time out. Can return to the good form from earlier in the prep with the addition of winkers today. VICTIMISED (9) is back after a 24-week break. Raced twice in the maiden campaign and failed to flatter on wet tracks. Trialling well and a firmer surface might see sharp improvement. NATIVE DANCE (8) is a modestly bred mare on debut. Has been about the mark in recent jump-outs so she looks set to make an immediate impact. FLAWS AND SINS (4) has been at single-figure odds in two of his three runs but the performances have been flat. Give him one more chance with the blinkers going on.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	At debut, 5th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on October 19 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Sayalero with 131lbs at $10. Improver who looks ideally placed here. Promising four-year-old gelding who will take a lot from that run. 1st Pick 3 Dramatic Dream Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Vincent Malady J: Neil Farley T: Vincent Malady	144	-	-	-	19%
Analysis At debut, 5th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on October 19 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Sayalero with 131lbs at $10. Improver who looks ideally placed here. Promising four-year-old gelding who will take a lot from that run.
2	Last start 8th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on October 29 over 6f, 4 len behind Hiney's Bar carrying 131lbs at $5. The run before that 4th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Hamilton on October 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Accuser with 131lbs at $6.50. At his best over this trip so worth another chance. 2nd Pick 2 Big Vee Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Brad Rawiller T: Tom Dabernig	244	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Last start 8th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on October 29 over 6f, 4 len behind Hiney's Bar carrying 131lbs at $5. The run before that 4th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Hamilton on October 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Accuser with 131lbs at $6.50. At his best over this trip so worth another chance.
9	Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 11 at Ballarat 2yo Mdn-Sw May 24 over 5f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Angelic Rise carrying 123lbs at $15. On debut fourth of 8 at this track V Gold Strike May 5 over 5f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Divine Dot carrying 126lbs at $12. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Anticipating a bright start to the prep. 3rd Pick 9 Victimised Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Fred W Kersley T: Lindsey Smith	114	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 11 at Ballarat 2yo Mdn-Sw May 24 over 5f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Angelic Rise carrying 123lbs at $15. On debut fourth of 8 at this track V Gold Strike May 5 over 5f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Divine Dot carrying 126lbs at $12. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Anticipating a bright start to the prep.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.