AU - Warrnambool - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

30.2K

VIEW

Verdict

GRIFTER (7) should strip much fitter second-up after resuming over 6f here and finishing fourth as the favourite after struggling in the heavy ground. He has more to offer and with the blinkers on for the first time, he can make amends. Follow your money. BIG VEE (1) was excellent first-up here off a long spell, going down by only a head over this distance. He should take improvement from that run and should go close to winning this. FLAWS AND SINS (3) strips fitter second up, and did have market support on debut. Stick with him. TIKIELA (6) ran on well enough to finish fourth third up from a spell at Hamilton last week over 5 ½f, and she figure in the top 3 this time, especially with a senior hoop on here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third race start. Promising on debut 3rd of 10 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Pakenham on May 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Obambulate carrying 128lbs at $12. Returned from break eased back early on 4th of 7 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at this track on September 3 over 6f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Alchemistic with 128lbs at $2.80. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 1st Pick 7 Grifter Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: John Allen T: Ciaron Maher	195	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Third race start. Promising on debut 3rd of 10 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Pakenham on May 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Obambulate carrying 128lbs at $12. Returned from break eased back early on 4th of 7 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at this track on September 3 over 6f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Alchemistic with 128lbs at $2.80. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.
1	Second run back. First-up after 11 months sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on September 3 over 6f, in the wet, head behind Star Rotation with 131lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up ran last of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at this track on October 30 over 7f, 11 len behind La Reine carrying 128lbs at $26. Further improvement in store. 2nd Pick 1 Big Vee Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Linda Meech T: Tom Dabernig	252	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 11 months sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on September 3 over 6f, in the wet, head behind Star Rotation with 131lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up ran last of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at this track on October 30 over 7f, 11 len behind La Reine carrying 128lbs at $26. Further improvement in store.
9	Last start ran last in a small field in a 3yo Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on September 5 over 7 ½f, slow going 15 len behind Lepolo with 119lbs at $101. The race before that ran last in a small field in a 3yo Bm64 at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Tolaga Bay carrying 119lbs at $151. Nicely placed to bounce back. 3rd Pick 9 Madame Doubtfire Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ricardo Meunier J: Non Runner T: Ricardo Meunier	77	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start ran last in a small field in a 3yo Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on September 5 over 7 ½f, slow going 15 len behind Lepolo with 119lbs at $101. The race before that ran last in a small field in a 3yo Bm64 at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Tolaga Bay carrying 119lbs at $151. Nicely placed to bounce back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.