AU - Warrnambool - Race 2

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

29.7K

VIEW

Verdict

JUSTIBELLA (7) looks the one to beat. She's been contesting some stronger races than this, well supported two back at Bendigo when struggling but bouncing back to her best last time at Ballarat when beaten a head into second. Off a let up for this but that's fine for this yard and she sets up for every hope. FIOROWNGOOD (2) closed off strongly last start to get up for third at Geelong when beaten under a length, first up from a spell there. He should strip fitter and has strong claims. NEEDLESTICK (8) improved nicely second up at Geelong and has claims off that. LE PLUS RAPIDE (4) next best but there's a long tail here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Comes here off a 41-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 10 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on June 12 over 7f, on heavy track, head behind Dreck carrying 127lbs at $11. The start before that raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 10 at Bendigo F&M Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 6 ½f, 6 len behind Queen Of Cordoba carrying 128lbs at $2.60. Sets up well and rates highly on latest. 1st Pick 7 Justibella Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: John Allen T: Ciaron Maher	236	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Comes here off a 41-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 10 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on June 12 over 7f, on heavy track, head behind Dreck carrying 127lbs at $11. The start before that raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 10 at Bendigo F&M Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 6 ½f, 6 len behind Queen Of Cordoba carrying 128lbs at $2.60. Sets up well and rates highly on latest.
2	Second run back. First-up after about 18 months 3rd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on July 10 over 7 ¼f, in the wet, 0.7 len behind Razanne with 131lbs at $31. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at Terang Mdn-Sw on February 28 2025 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Star Ruler with 130lbs at $5. Better for that and should go close. 2nd Pick 2 Fiorowngood Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Jack Hill T: Symon Wilde	142	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after about 18 months 3rd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on July 10 over 7 ¼f, in the wet, 0.7 len behind Razanne with 131lbs at $31. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at Terang Mdn-Sw on February 28 2025 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Star Ruler with 130lbs at $5. Better for that and should go close.
5	Was well-supported at debut, 4th of 10 at Donald Mdn-Sw on July 11 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Powering Away with 131lbs at $3.90. Was supported on debut and will take catching. 3rd Pick 5 Pappa Ritch Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Non Runner T: Shane Jackson	111	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 4th of 10 at Donald Mdn-Sw on July 11 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Powering Away with 131lbs at $3.90. Was supported on debut and will take catching.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.