AU - Wangaratta - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

5.8f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

13.8K

VIEW

Verdict

FOREVER WITH NED (4) missed the placings two starts back then ran a better race and finished 3 lengths away in fifth last time out over 5f at Seymour. Ideally placed and is sure to play a pivotal role. SHELLY'S LEGACY (5) ran below expectations last time at Echuca, finishing fifth and beaten 6 lengths starting at $7. Does have a tricky gate to contend with but the 7lbs might help offset that. STELLAR MOFEED (8) faded late last time over 6f at Cranbourne after showing good early speed, eventually finishing fifth. Commendable record at this trip with a win and seven minor placings and cannot be underestimated. DENSETSU (16) doesn't win often but has been typically consistent of late and has placed in half his four runs on the home track. TURNAQUID (7) is a former stablemate of Densetsu who was adequate at the first run for Luke Oliver and should appreciate returning here, where she has had 12 starts for 4 wins and 4 placings.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Last start 5th of 11 at Seymour Bm62 on July 19 over 5f, in the wet, 3 len behind Scoobartie with 130lbs at $4.60. The start before that sat on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm66 on July 1 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Divine Thoughts with 123lbs at $4. Well placed to find winning form again. 1st Pick 4 Forever With Ned Jockey: Jack Martin Trainer: Patrick Payne J: Jack Martin T: Patrick Payne	154	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start 5th of 11 at Seymour Bm62 on July 19 over 5f, in the wet, 3 len behind Scoobartie with 130lbs at $4.60. The start before that sat on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm66 on July 1 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Divine Thoughts with 123lbs at $4. Well placed to find winning form again.
5	At the latest run 5th of 11 at Echuca Bm56 on July 24 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Tomanado carrying 133lbs at $7. Before that 2nd of 9 at this track Bm62 on June 14 over 5f, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Forever With Ned with 127lbs at $13. Well placed. Should be at peak fitness now and is a winning chance. 2nd Pick 5 Shelly's Legacy Jockey: Alice Kennedy Trainer: John & Chris Ledger J: Alice Kennedy T: John & Chris Ledger	107	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 at Echuca Bm56 on July 24 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Tomanado carrying 133lbs at $7. Before that 2nd of 9 at this track Bm62 on June 14 over 5f, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Forever With Ned with 127lbs at $13. Well placed. Should be at peak fitness now and is a winning chance.
8	Most recently faded in the straight 5th of 13 at Cranbourne Bm62 on July 16 over 6f, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Best Time carrying 127lbs at $8. The run before that 6th of 12 at Bendigo F&M Bm62 on July 5 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Iced Poppy carrying 126lbs at $5. She is right in this. 3rd Pick 8 Stellar Mofeed Jockey: Dylan Dunn Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Dylan Dunn T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	174	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently faded in the straight 5th of 13 at Cranbourne Bm62 on July 16 over 6f, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Best Time carrying 127lbs at $8. The run before that 6th of 12 at Bendigo F&M Bm62 on July 5 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Iced Poppy carrying 126lbs at $5. She is right in this.

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