AU - Wangaratta - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

9.9f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

30.0K

VIEW

Verdict

LINKENHOLT (4) is lining up for his third career start having improved nicely out to this trip at Pakenham on heavy ground, getting home strongly for a narrow placing. He's got plenty of upside and finds an ideal race. Rates highly. THUNDERBOLT WAY (7) has finished runner up in 3/4 starts this time in, beating home Linkenholt at Pakenham. That horse might have a bit more upside but Thunderbolt Way will be up on speed and very hard to run down. REEL RAIDER (11) is coming along quite well, getting into a narrow fourth at Geelong over 1 ¹/16m. Up in trip again suits now and she should be hard to run down. STORMING CAMELOT (6) should be ready to step up in distance being by Russian Camelot off a solid run at Seymour last time out, each way. TRICKEMEZI (8) next best if the tempo is on.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third race start today. At big odds at debut, got back early 6th of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 1m, 8 len behind Meleys with 131lbs at $41. Second-up 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, long-neck behind Autumn Diamonds carrying 131lbs at $8. Promising type who looks hard to hold out. 1st Pick 4 Linkenholt Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Billy Egan T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	128	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Third race start today. At big odds at debut, got back early 6th of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 1m, 8 len behind Meleys with 131lbs at $41. Second-up 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, long-neck behind Autumn Diamonds carrying 131lbs at $8. Promising type who looks hard to hold out.
7	At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, nose behind Autumn Diamonds carrying 131lbs at $4. The run before that 8th of 14 at Stawell Mdn-Sw on May 18 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 13 len behind Epoch carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Working up to a win. Racing well and should be right there. 2nd Pick 7 Thunderbolt Way Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Nelson Smyth J: Fred W Kersley T: Nelson Smyth	137	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, nose behind Autumn Diamonds carrying 131lbs at $4. The run before that 8th of 14 at Stawell Mdn-Sw on May 18 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 13 len behind Epoch carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Working up to a win. Racing well and should be right there.
11	Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 12 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Johnny Be Good carrying 127lbs at $6. The race before that 4th of 8 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 7 ¾f, 4.5 len behind Falstaffian with 127lbs at $31. Can improve again, respecting. 3rd Pick 11 Reel Raider Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Damien Thornton T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	105	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 12 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Johnny Be Good carrying 127lbs at $6. The race before that 4th of 8 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 7 ¾f, 4.5 len behind Falstaffian with 127lbs at $31. Can improve again, respecting.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.