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3:30 AM

AU - Wangaratta - Race 4

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
7.9f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
22.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DELA BELLA (5) has been building towards a maiden win and gets her chance after three placings this campaign, the latest a third at Seymour when beaten a length and a half after having difficulty getting clear approaching the 1 ½f. Her Bendigo second to Classic Gem also reads well for this, and three placings from five tries around this distance say a win is close. VOLESTAIN (12) is less exposed and his Flemington debut in Open grade gives him a stronger platform than the bare form shows, though he is still learning after beginning slowly at Bendigo. The one with upside. OPEN FIRE (8) has been close enough in two runs back and was steadied last start at Ballarat, while the Bendigo line through Dela Bella gives a clear measure. ASHEN KNIGHT (1) resumed with a sound Albury third as favourite and the first-time blinkers give him scope to sharpen, provided he handles this distance better than previous attempts.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Dela Bella silk

Has put together three strong placings this campaign and was again good at Seymour, finishing third and beaten a length and a half after being held up approaching the 1 ½f. Her Bendigo second prior was just as solid, beaten a long neck at long odds behind Classic Gem. Finds another very winnable race and can break the duck.

1st Pick
5

Dela Bella

Jockey: Ryan Hurdle

Trainer: Tetyana Furdetska

J: Ryan Hurdle

T: Tetyana Furdetska

164---19%9/2

Analysis

Has put together three strong placings this campaign and was again good at Seymour, finishing third and beaten a length and a half after being held up approaching the 1 ½f. Her Bendigo second prior was just as solid, beaten a long neck at long odds behind Classic Gem. Finds another very winnable race and can break the duck.

12
Volestain silk

Resumed in a Mdn at Bendigo and finished seventh, beaten three and a half lengths by Divine Eruption after beginning slowly, so there was enough there to suggest improvement second-up. His only other run was in Open grade at Flemington, where he was fifth to Autumn Charm after giving away ground early. Should improve and take holding out.

2nd Pick
12

Volestain

Jockey: Luke Currie

Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

J: Luke Currie

T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

132---27%11/4

Analysis

Resumed in a Mdn at Bendigo and finished seventh, beaten three and a half lengths by Divine Eruption after beginning slowly, so there was enough there to suggest improvement second-up. His only other run was in Open grade at Flemington, where he was fifth to Autumn Charm after giving away ground early. Should improve and take holding out.

8
Open Fire silk

Was close enough to matter at Ballarat last start, finishing fourth and beaten just over two lengths behind Millsy's Award after being steadied late. She had earlier made ground from well back at Bendigo when seventh behind Classic Gem, a race where Dela Bella had her measure. Still has Dela Bella to turn around, but her chance is strong.

3rd Pick
8

Open Fire

Jockey: Teo Nugent

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Teo Nugent

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

92---16%11/2

Analysis

Was close enough to matter at Ballarat last start, finishing fourth and beaten just over two lengths behind Millsy's Award after being steadied late. She had earlier made ground from well back at Bendigo when seventh behind Classic Gem, a race where Dela Bella had her measure. Still has Dela Bella to turn around, but her chance is strong.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.