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4:30 AM

AU - Tatura - Race 3

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
22.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VESPASIAN (7) is ready to win after another minor placing, finishing second over 1 ¹/16m at Geelong when he was always up in the leading division. Overdue for a win and looks tough to beat on recent figures. WHO I THINK I AM (11) is a five-start maiden who finished fourth after being in contention on the turn at her most recent appearance over 1 ³/16m at Newcastle. Freshened for this slightly sharper trip and expected to be in the finish. THE CELLIST (12) is going better than form looks, the latest settling last and turning there before running on late into fourth over 1m at Wodonga. Fitter for two runs back and will be tough to stop on best. SUNDAY VENDETTA (5) has put together back-to-back placings, the latest when 0.8 lengths away in second over 1m at Donald. Looks close to a win and should feature with any luck from the draw. CHALLENGING (1) is another close to a win and right in this on best figures.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Vespasian silk

Recent form sound. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 11 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.0 len behind Rockzino carrying 131lbs at $7. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 24 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Hit Squad with 131lbs at $8.50. Overdue and will prove hard to hold out.

1st Pick
7

Vespasian

Jockey: Celine Gaudray

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Celine Gaudray

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

158---34%2/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 11 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.0 len behind Rockzino carrying 131lbs at $7. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 24 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Hit Squad with 131lbs at $8.50. Overdue and will prove hard to hold out.

11
Who I Think I Am silk

Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 38-day let-up. Most recently 4th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on August 22 over 1 ³/16m, 5 len behind Liyah's Girl carrying 126lbs at $8. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Mdn at Goulburn on August 3 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Orange Tsunami with 128lbs at $4.20. Nicely placed and expected to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
11

Who I Think I Am

Jockey: Carleen Hefel

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Carleen Hefel

T: Ciaron Maher

126---10%9/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 38-day let-up. Most recently 4th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on August 22 over 1 ³/16m, 5 len behind Liyah's Girl carrying 126lbs at $8. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Mdn at Goulburn on August 3 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Orange Tsunami with 128lbs at $4.20. Nicely placed and expected to be in the finish.

12
The Cellist silk

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Wangaratta on August 23 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Kokonda carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Wodonga on September 15 over 1m, 4 len behind Sheza Raveela with 126lbs at $3. Ran on well from last and further improved.

3rd Pick
12

The Cellist

Jockey: Jackson Radley

Trainer: Nick Ryan

J: Jackson Radley

T: Nick Ryan

128---10%9/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Wangaratta on August 23 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Kokonda carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Wodonga on September 15 over 1m, 4 len behind Sheza Raveela with 126lbs at $3. Ran on well from last and further improved.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race