AU - Swan Hill - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

BREAK THE TABOO (12) narrowly on top. She's racing consistently, well backed into third two starts ago at Seymour before just battling on very heavy going at Hamilton. Happy to forgive that one, especially given the market support, and she can bounce back quickly. Wary of the lightly raced CALL ME MAURA (11) who won her maiden well at Ballarat Synthetic two back before struggling behind a potential star in town last time. This should suit nicely, she just draws awfully. SHOOTER MCGAVIN (3) is going okay, he switches to turf now which is interesting but he's good enough on his day. MR BUTT'S BOATS (2) is back onto turf here since two synthetic runs, his best form is good enough and he can improve up on top of the speed.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Form hard to fault. Most recently ran second last in a small field at Hamilton Bm56 on July 12 over 6f, in the wet, 10 len behind Port Louis with 154lbs at $1.85. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on May 21 over 7f, slow going 2.5 len behind Thunder Hawk with 130lbs at $2.80. Going well enough to take this out. 1st Pick 12 Break The Taboo Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Jack Hill T: Shane Jackson	89	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently ran second last in a small field at Hamilton Bm56 on July 12 over 6f, in the wet, 10 len behind Port Louis with 154lbs at $1.85. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on May 21 over 7f, slow going 2.5 len behind Thunder Hawk with 130lbs at $2.80. Going well enough to take this out.
10	Second run back. First-up after six months 5th of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm56 on July 6 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Qubella with 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on September 28 over 6f, 2 len behind Bakersbend with 131lbs at $7. Fitter and hard to hold out. 2nd Pick 10 Cosmic Charger Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Non Runner T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	148	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 5th of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm56 on July 6 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Qubella with 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on September 28 over 6f, 2 len behind Bakersbend with 131lbs at $7. Fitter and hard to hold out.
11	At the latest run 5th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on July 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 10 len behind Queen Peta carrying 130lbs at $13. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw June 21 over 5 ½f defeating Apache Sunrise with 128lbs at $1.75. Has upside and should take beating. 3rd Pick 11 Call Me Maura Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Taige Weir J: Will Gordon T: Taige Weir	116	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on July 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 10 len behind Queen Peta carrying 130lbs at $13. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw June 21 over 5 ½f defeating Apache Sunrise with 128lbs at $1.75. Has upside and should take beating.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.