AU - Swan Hill - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

VILLE DE LUMIERE (9) resumed in good order at Horsham and then raced as the favourite again at Terang over 6 ¼f and was beaten a nose. It was a tough effort from a wide gate and she jumps from an inside alley today with Coffey a key jockey engagement. In a top barn, and she can go one better. OLIVIA'S SCANDAL (7) brings a half-length defeat from Warracknabeal, over 6f in stronger. Has two wins over this journey and maps for run of the race. Will be at peak fitness and can make the finish. SILVALOA (1) was beaten 3.5 lengths in a 7f contest at Bendigo two-and-a-half weeks ago. Had raced in Stakes grade in Canberra prior and comes back in grade. Has to be kept onside. CHOSEN VENTURE (5) won at Kerang as expected in a 52 over shorter. Maps has won this course/distance. In the mix. HIGHLY INTRIGUED (3) resumes and has jumped out sharply 3x. Has Rawiller aboard and keep an eye on the betting with her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 12 at Horsham Bm56 on February 24 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Body Of Venus carrying 131lbs at $4.20. Second run from a spell took up a position near the tail 2nd of 10 at Terang Bm56 on March 17 over 6f, slow going nose behind Dobkins with 131lbs at $4.20. Profiles nicely. Fitter and can go one better. 1st Pick 9 Ville De Lumiere Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Harry Coffey T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	155	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 12 at Horsham Bm56 on February 24 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Body Of Venus carrying 131lbs at $4.20. Second run from a spell took up a position near the tail 2nd of 10 at Terang Bm56 on March 17 over 6f, slow going nose behind Dobkins with 131lbs at $4.20. Profiles nicely. Fitter and can go one better.
7	Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Warracknabeal Bm66 on April 4 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Damas carrying 120lbs at $13. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Avoca Bm56 on March 29 over 6f, 3 len behind Zemgrinda carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Expected to be right in it. 2nd Pick 7 Olivia's Scandal Jockey: Chelsea Taylor Trainer: Jordy Coffey J: Chelsea Taylor T: Jordy Coffey	135	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Warracknabeal Bm66 on April 4 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Damas carrying 120lbs at $13. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Avoca Bm56 on March 29 over 6f, 3 len behind Zemgrinda carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Expected to be right in it.
1	Last start 6th of 8 at Bendigo 0 - 62 on March 27 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Louis Barthas with 130lbs at $10. The race before that ran last of 9 at Canberra in the LR Canb Gneas on March 8 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Aerodrome carrying 123lbs at $71. Chance to return to form. 3rd Pick 1 Silvaloa Jockey: Lachlan King Trainer: Ben Brisbourne J: Lachlan King T: Ben Brisbourne	123	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Last start 6th of 8 at Bendigo 0 - 62 on March 27 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Louis Barthas with 130lbs at $10. The race before that ran last of 9 at Canberra in the LR Canb Gneas on March 8 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Aerodrome carrying 123lbs at $71. Chance to return to form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.