AU - Swan Hill - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

11.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Even race but FONN POWER (4) looks close to a win. Raced over 1 ?m at Donald last time and kept coming, beaten just a nose. Looks suited by the 1 ½m and drops in weight. Looks hard to hold out. COMPRESSING (2) went back from an outside gate last time and circled back and wide before running on hard to fifth over 1 ¼m at Wangaratta a month ago. First try this longer journey but lightly raced and looks suited. Hard to hold out. VERIFIER (7) was good this grade two back then raced off his best last time when fifth in the same race as Fonn Power. Will be tough to hold out on best. DANDRUFF (5) finished 2.3 lengths back from the winner last start at Mildura on soft going and is down in weight this time. Ready to win after two solid runs back. HIGHLAND GLORY (6) turned in a much better effort last time out to score by a long neck over 1 ?m at Hamilton. Going well and could follow up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	At the latest run 2nd of 9 in a Bm56 at Donald on September 12 over 1m, nose behind Fiorowngood with 133lbs at $13. Before that 7th of 11 in a Bm56 at Mildura on September 5 over 1 ¼m, slow going 7 len behind Intuitu carrying 136lbs at $4.20. Kept coming and just missed latest and will be tough to stop again. 1st Pick 4 Fonn Power Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Patrick Payne J: Billy Egan T: Patrick Payne	175	-	-	-	42%	7/5
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 9 in a Bm56 at Donald on September 12 over 1m, nose behind Fiorowngood with 133lbs at $13. Before that 7th of 11 in a Bm56 at Mildura on September 5 over 1 ¼m, slow going 7 len behind Intuitu carrying 136lbs at $4.20. Kept coming and just missed latest and will be tough to stop again.
2	Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently 5th of 12 in a Bm56 at Wangaratta on August 23 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Azeola with 137lbs at $6.50. The race before that 4th of 13 in a Bm62 at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Charming Deel with 130lbs at $26. Going well and looks a leading chance. 2nd Pick 2 Compressing Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Brad Rawiller T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	106	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently 5th of 12 in a Bm56 at Wangaratta on August 23 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Azeola with 137lbs at $6.50. The race before that 4th of 13 in a Bm62 at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Charming Deel with 130lbs at $26. Going well and looks a leading chance.
7	Last start from last on the turn 5th of 9 in a Bm56 at Donald on September 12 over 1m, 3 len behind Fiorowngood carrying 133lbs at $2.20. Before that 5th of 11 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 27 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Ahab carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Better than last run and will be winding up strongly. 3rd Pick 7 Verifier Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Nigel Blackiston J: John Allen T: Nigel Blackiston	168	-	-	-	3%	48/1
Analysis Last start from last on the turn 5th of 9 in a Bm56 at Donald on September 12 over 1m, 3 len behind Fiorowngood carrying 133lbs at $2.20. Before that 5th of 11 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 27 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Ahab carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Better than last run and will be winding up strongly.

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