AU - Swan Hill - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

11.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

DUKE OF BEDFORD (4) was well fancied last time but found one better at Echuca, finishing 0.8 lengths adrift at the end of 1 5/16m. Will appreciate the extra ground and will be fitter again. He can win this on his way to a likely steeplechase campaign. FLASHLIGHT (1) brings solid middle distance form and likes to position handy. Rawiller reunites today, and on what we've seen, he will run it right out. LANE CHANGER (8) came from the back and was only beaten 1.6L over 1 5/16m at Echuca. In a top barn and is well seasoned for the staying trip. GIFT OF ORATORY (5) just missed this track/trip two back and Coffey is back on. Gets a soft run and has to be considered. DEALT (2) has been struggling for form in NSW and has been switched south by the premier stable on a 30-day return. Was well in the market over this distance at Kembla Grange the latest and was never a factor. Is likely to show more.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Kyneton Bm56 on February 27 over 1m, slow going 1.3 len behind So Long Ago carrying 134lbs at $8. Second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Echuca Bm56 on March 21 over 1 5/16m, 0.8 len behind Flash Of Dallas carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Racing well. Big chance. 1st Pick 4 Duke Of Bedford Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Andrew Bobbin J: Will Gordon T: Andrew Bobbin	190	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Kyneton Bm56 on February 27 over 1m, slow going 1.3 len behind So Long Ago carrying 134lbs at $8. Second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Echuca Bm56 on March 21 over 1 5/16m, 0.8 len behind Flash Of Dallas carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Racing well. Big chance.
1	Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Ararat Bm56 on March 30 over 1m, 2.5 len behind My Uncle Did It with 138lbs at $3.90. The run before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 8 at Warrnambool Bm62 on March 9 over 1 7/16m, 1.75 len behind Off His Roca carrying 131lbs at $2.90. Made headway last time. Has ability and can run a strong race. 2nd Pick 1 Flashlight Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Patrick Payne J: Brad Rawiller T: Patrick Payne	142	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Ararat Bm56 on March 30 over 1m, 2.5 len behind My Uncle Did It with 138lbs at $3.90. The run before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 8 at Warrnambool Bm62 on March 9 over 1 7/16m, 1.75 len behind Off His Roca carrying 131lbs at $2.90. Made headway last time. Has ability and can run a strong race.
8	At the latest run 4th of 11 at Echuca Bm56 on March 21 over 1 5/16m, 1.5 len behind Flash Of Dallas carrying 128lbs at $7. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Echuca Bm56 on March 8 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Positivo with 130lbs at $3.80. Keep well onside. 3rd Pick 8 Lane Changer Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Eoin Walsh T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	119	-	-	-	5%
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 11 at Echuca Bm56 on March 21 over 1 5/16m, 1.5 len behind Flash Of Dallas carrying 128lbs at $7. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Echuca Bm56 on March 8 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Positivo with 130lbs at $3.80. Keep well onside.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.