AU - Swan Hill - Race 3

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

26.1K

VIEW

Verdict

The droughtbreaker, where it's a case of the horse with the least convictions. INSTINCTIVE SPIRIT (10) has also placed in 3/13 to date. The first up run at Echuca was just fair but getting to 1m will suit much better. SHADES OF SHERIFF (7) is a 29 start maiden who is dropping sharply in trip off a good run at Cranbourne over 1 ?/16m last time out. He has placed thrice from six attempts over a mile and will be strong late. HENRY'S FAITH (9) is going okay, not far away in two recent runs. She's some chance in an open race. PERFUME RIVER (13) has placed in 6/15 and is going well of late. Tough draw but a solid chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
15	Second-up. First-up after seven months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on May 27 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Think I'm Irish with 131lbs at $26. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on August 2 over 6f, 5 len behind Milbrae with 131lbs at $19. Finds the right race. 1st Pick 15 Summer Night Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shane Fliedner J: Non Runner T: Shane Fliedner	153	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on May 27 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Think I'm Irish with 131lbs at $26. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on August 2 over 6f, 5 len behind Milbrae with 131lbs at $19. Finds the right race.
10	Second run back. First-up after five months 8th of 13 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 7f, 8 len behind Il Americana with 127lbs at $21. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Hamilton Mdn-Sw on September 16 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Designs Of Eight carrying 127lbs at $19. Can improve quickly. 2nd Pick 10 Instinctive Spirit Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Rhys Archard J: Harry Coffey T: Rhys Archard	75	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 8th of 13 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 7f, 8 len behind Il Americana with 127lbs at $21. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Hamilton Mdn-Sw on September 16 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Designs Of Eight carrying 127lbs at $19. Can improve quickly.
7	Most recently 2nd in a small field at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on May 30 over 1/16m, nose behind One Brother with 127lbs at $12. The run before that second last of 12 at Wagga Riverside Mdn-Sw on May 24 over 1 m, on heavy track, 11 len behind Track And Field carrying 130lbs at $6. Each way hope on best form. 3rd Pick 7 Shades Of Sheriff Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Christopher Davis J: Neil Farley T: Christopher Davis	208	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Most recently 2nd in a small field at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on May 30 over 1/16m, nose behind One Brother with 127lbs at $12. The run before that second last of 12 at Wagga Riverside Mdn-Sw on May 24 over 1 m, on heavy track, 11 len behind Track And Field carrying 130lbs at $6. Each way hope on best form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.