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Resulted

AU - Swan Hill - Race 3

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
6.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
22.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

APACHE SUNRISE (6) is a consistent type with four minor placings from five starts this prep. She continues to race well without breaking through, now onto turf here which is fine having placed at Stawell on soft ground back in May. Tricky draw but has strong claims. ZUKURO (11) is a daughter of Bivouac from the Group 3 winner Pursuits who makes her debut for the Payne yard. She's jumped out well and has claims first time of asking. MASSALIA (9) produced a fair effort on debut last time out when 4.5 lengths from the winner in fourth at Ballarat Synthetic over 5 ½f. Can improve quickly off that and is worth watching onto turf. BUDJIK QUEEN (7) is a filly by Churchill on debut who has been jumping out well and looks ready to go.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Apache Sunrise silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 14 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Done My Job with 127lbs at $3.60. Before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 30 over 6f, head behind Sonic Surge carrying 123lbs at $3.30. Drawn wide but only needs to hold form to be going close.

1st Pick
6

Apache Sunrise

Jockey: Dean Yendall

Trainer: Archie Alexander

J: Dean Yendall

T: Archie Alexander

180---29%

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 14 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Done My Job with 127lbs at $3.60. Before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 30 over 6f, head behind Sonic Surge carrying 123lbs at $3.30. Drawn wide but only needs to hold form to be going close.

11
Zukuro silk

Three-year-old filly (Bivouac - Pursuits) who was bought for AUD $ 160,000 (Magic Millions 2024 Gold Coast Yearling Sale). Patrick Payne has her ready for this with 19 recent trials prior to her debut today. Won her most recent trial at Seymour over 4f on July 20. Should be ready to run well.

2nd Pick
11

Zukuro

Jockey: Alana Kelly

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Alana Kelly

T: Patrick Payne

69---12%

Analysis

Three-year-old filly (Bivouac - Pursuits) who was bought for AUD $ 160,000 (Magic Millions 2024 Gold Coast Yearling Sale). Patrick Payne has her ready for this with 19 recent trials prior to her debut today. Won her most recent trial at Seymour over 4f on July 20. Should be ready to run well.

9
Massalia silk

At debut, eased back early on 4th in a small field at Ballarat Synthetic 3yo F Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Australian Legacy carrying 126lbs at $5.60. Can improve sharply.

3rd Pick
9

Massalia

Jockey: Jack Hill

Trainer: Brady Cross

J: Jack Hill

T: Brady Cross

95---8%

Analysis

At debut, eased back early on 4th in a small field at Ballarat Synthetic 3yo F Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Australian Legacy carrying 126lbs at $5.60. Can improve sharply.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.