AU - Swan Hill - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.9K

VIEW

Verdict

OCEANS FOUROSEVEN (10) started huge odds at debut over 6 ½f at Bendigo but ran out of his skin, boxing on well for a close-up fifth and beaten less than two lengths. Looks suited by the mile and can only be improved. Showed tough to follow up. KING FLEANCE (3) has started twice and both times has wound up strongly, finishing runner-up on debut then fourth last time. Expected to relish the mile and looks a definite win chance. WINDHOWLER (7) was safely held fresh but will strip fitter and the extra trip is a big plus. Expecting sharp improvement. CREUSA (8) is more of a staying type but can run well here fresh. SON OF VADAMOS (6) has fitness on the majority and looks one of the chances.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Was as a despised roughie at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.75 len behind Zambales carrying 123lbs at $101. Has upside and looks suited by the extra ground. 1st Pick 10 Oceans Fouroseven Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Harry Coffey T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	156	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Was as a despised roughie at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.75 len behind Zambales carrying 123lbs at $101. Has upside and looks suited by the extra ground.
3	Lining up for just third start. At debut, 2nd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Mildura on August 8 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Brazen Warrior carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Second-up 4th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on August 30 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Joely carrying 131lbs at $19. Has wound up well both starts and is among the leading hopes. 2nd Pick 3 King Fleance Jockey: Cian Macredmond Trainer: Richard Cully J: Cian Macredmond T: Richard Cully	112	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Lining up for just third start. At debut, 2nd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Mildura on August 8 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Brazen Warrior carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Second-up 4th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on August 30 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Joely carrying 131lbs at $19. Has wound up well both starts and is among the leading hopes.
7	Second run back. First-up after five months ran second last of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Sarapo carrying 131lbs at $5. Previously second-up 8th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on March 27 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Shipstern Bluff with 130lbs at $3.50. Fitter and can improve sharply. 3rd Pick 7 Windhowler Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Brad Rawiller T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	118	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months ran second last of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Sarapo carrying 131lbs at $5. Previously second-up 8th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on March 27 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Shipstern Bluff with 130lbs at $3.50. Fitter and can improve sharply.

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