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5:30 AM

AU - Stawell - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
5.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
15.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FOREVER WITH NED (8) showed good early dash and raced on the speed at the first run back from a break last start before fading to finish 2.5 lengths back in sixth over 5f at Pakenham. Will go forward and give a huge sight. PRINCE MARIONETTE (3) didn't make an impact at his last run before going for a spell on September 6, finishing tenth and beaten 6 lengths over 6f at Mildura. Still lightly raced and can do much better here. TORI'S DEE (6) got the job done in solid style last start, scoring by 0.8 lengths over this journey at Ararat after stalking the lead. No reason he can't go on with it here. PRANCING QUEEN (10) drifted well back then came with a powerful run to finish 1.4 lengths from the winner in third when resuming last start over 5f at Mornington. Suited this level with winning claims.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Forever With Ned silk

Second-up today. Last start ran last in a small field at Pakenham Bm62 on May 8 over 5f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Electric Star with 127lbs at $5. At only start last preparation made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Traralgon Bm62 on November 30 over 5 ½f, in the wet, head behind Magnabelle Royale with 127lbs at $5.50. Fitter and suited here, rates well.

1st Pick
8

Forever With Ned

Jockey: Billy Egan

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Billy Egan

T: Patrick Payne

169---25%3/1

Analysis

Second-up today. Last start ran last in a small field at Pakenham Bm62 on May 8 over 5f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Electric Star with 127lbs at $5. At only start last preparation made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Traralgon Bm62 on November 30 over 5 ½f, in the wet, head behind Magnabelle Royale with 127lbs at $5.50. Fitter and suited here, rates well.

3
Prince Marionette silk

Is first-up after a break of eight months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign tenth of 12 at Mildura Bm56 September 6 over 6f, 6 len behind The Wizard King carrying 129lbs at $6. First up last campaign ran last of 7 at Morphettville 3yo Bm66 August 9 over 5 ¼f, soft track, 11 len behind Captain Happy carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Can run a cheeky race fresh.

2nd Pick
3

Prince Marionette

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Patrick Kearney

J: John Allen

T: Patrick Kearney

115---11%17/2

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of eight months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign tenth of 12 at Mildura Bm56 September 6 over 6f, 6 len behind The Wizard King carrying 129lbs at $6. First up last campaign ran last of 7 at Morphettville 3yo Bm66 August 9 over 5 ¼f, soft track, 11 len behind Captain Happy carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Can run a cheeky race fresh.

6
Tori's Dee silk

Form hard to fault. Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Ararat Bm52 May 9 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Spinhof with 126lbs at $5. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Affirmative Lad carrying 121lbs at $9. Confidence back and can go on with it.

3rd Pick
6

Tori's Dee

Jockey: Chelsea Thompson

Trainer: Jamie Edwards

J: Chelsea Thompson

T: Jamie Edwards

110---6%16/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Ararat Bm52 May 9 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Spinhof with 126lbs at $5. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Affirmative Lad carrying 121lbs at $9. Confidence back and can go on with it.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.