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5:00 AM

AU - Stawell - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
9.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
15.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MASH AND GRAVY (9) ran below expectations last time at Wangaratta, finishing ninth and beaten 12 lengths starting at $4.60. Prior form was rock solid for this, expect he can bounce back to form. THREE REEL ROSES (7) also ran below their best last time after being in contention on the turn at Kilmore, finishing tenth and beaten 12 lengths starting at $4.40. She's another that can turn things around quickly. PIANTA (10) is backing up nine days after finishing seventh over 1m at Ararat. Up in trip suits much better and prior form reads well. NINYO (8) finished midfield at her first run back from a spell last start, beaten 7 lengths over 1m at Wangaratta on soft going when in the market. Quickly up in trip here but will be fitter with claims.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Mash And Gravy silk

Most recently 9th of 12 at Wangaratta Bm52 on May 3 over 1 ¼m, slow going 12 len behind Leica Trooper with 130lbs at $4.60. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 1 ½m, 2 len behind Gambu carrying 126lbs at $3.50. Can do much better.

1st Pick
9

Mash And Gravy

Jockey: Ben Kennedy

Trainer: Rachael Cunningham

J: Ben Kennedy

T: Rachael Cunningham

112---10%9/1

Analysis

Most recently 9th of 12 at Wangaratta Bm52 on May 3 over 1 ¼m, slow going 12 len behind Leica Trooper with 130lbs at $4.60. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 1 ½m, 2 len behind Gambu carrying 126lbs at $3.50. Can do much better.

7
Three Reel Roses silk

Last start second last of 11 at Kilmore 0-56 on May 4 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 12 len behind Avonview carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Before that 2nd of 9 at Echuca Bm56 on April 16 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Simply Outrageous carrying 128lbs at $41. Can bounce back to form here.

2nd Pick
7

Three Reel Roses

Jockey: Mitchell Aitken

Trainer: Henry Dwyer

J: Mitchell Aitken

T: Henry Dwyer

93---15%6/1

Analysis

Last start second last of 11 at Kilmore 0-56 on May 4 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 12 len behind Avonview carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Before that 2nd of 9 at Echuca Bm56 on April 16 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Simply Outrageous carrying 128lbs at $41. Can bounce back to form here.

10
Pianta silk

At the latest run 7th of 14 at Ararat 0 - 56 on May 9 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Fashion Fighter with 125lbs at $8.50. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Horsham Bm56 on April 27 over 1 5/16m, 2 len behind Wimmera Star carrying 123lbs at $12. Prior form sees him hard to catch.

3rd Pick
10

Pianta

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Wayne Walters

J: Non Runner

T: Wayne Walters

94---1%1000/1

Analysis

At the latest run 7th of 14 at Ararat 0 - 56 on May 9 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Fashion Fighter with 125lbs at $8.50. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Horsham Bm56 on April 27 over 1 5/16m, 2 len behind Wimmera Star carrying 123lbs at $12. Prior form sees him hard to catch.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.