AU - Seymour - Race 9

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

APPPLEBY (9) has placed in both runs back from a spell, good to the line at Yarra Valley last time when beaten a length. She does struggle to win with just 1 victory from 20 starts but has found a good race here and can flash through late. MR MARKLE (13) ran well fresh at Tatura over 5f. He's been given a short break since then but can still improve off that and take holding out. INFINITE MATRIX (12) is consistent without winning, notching up another minor placing at Werribee last time out, fresh into that run when sticking on for third. He could be fitter and will take catching. BRAVE CAROL (6) had things against second up at Geelong but had been close up fresh and can improve now.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Third-up today. Freshened for 36 days. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Mornington F&M Bm62 on November 27 over 6f, 2 len behind Bedtime Angel carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on December 29 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Superset carrying 130lbs at $3.30. Making headway and can go on with it. 1st Pick 9 Apppleby Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Beau Mertens T: Greg Eurell	95	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today. Freshened for 36 days. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Mornington F&M Bm62 on November 27 over 6f, 2 len behind Bedtime Angel carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on December 29 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Superset carrying 130lbs at $3.30. Making headway and can go on with it.
13	Second-up. Comes off a 51-day let-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 12 at Tatura Bm56 on December 14 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Dapper Don carrying 133lbs at $3. Previously second-up ran last of 8 at Swan Hill 3yo Bm64 on June 8 over 6f, slow going 11 len behind Shamateur with 129lbs at $6.50. Fitter and a strong chance. 2nd Pick 13 Mr Markle Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Patrick & Michelle Payne J: Brad Rawiller T: Patrick & Michelle Payne	85	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Second-up. Comes off a 51-day let-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 12 at Tatura Bm56 on December 14 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Dapper Don carrying 133lbs at $3. Previously second-up ran last of 8 at Swan Hill 3yo Bm64 on June 8 over 6f, slow going 11 len behind Shamateur with 129lbs at $6.50. Fitter and a strong chance.
7	Mare back from a spell of six months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign second last of 10 at Cranbourne Cl1 August 1 over 6f, soft track, 13 len behind Illuminance carrying 120lbs at $13. Previously first up, second last of 9 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm58 June 27 over 5f, 10 len behind El Pibe De Oro with 132lbs at $3.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Suspect she's come back better this time. 3rd Pick 7 Red Line Fever Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Carly Thomas J: Non Runner T: Carly Thomas	92	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Mare back from a spell of six months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign second last of 10 at Cranbourne Cl1 August 1 over 6f, soft track, 13 len behind Illuminance carrying 120lbs at $13. Previously first up, second last of 9 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm58 June 27 over 5f, 10 len behind El Pibe De Oro with 132lbs at $3.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Suspect she's come back better this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.