AU - Seymour - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

24.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky little race but siding with the upside of A LONG STORY SHORT (5) for the Mick Kent yard. He broke through for a dominant maiden win here last time out over a mile and looks ideally suited stepping up to 1 ¼m now. This is a step up but he should go on with it. GOVERNOR KING (3) broke through for a smart win here last time out in similar company. He'd just been battling prior but should take holding out again. OMAMORI (2) is racing consistently without winning, contesting some stronger races in town of late. He should be in the mix again. FYRELINE (6) was okay at Cranbourne back in trip last time and up in trip now should suit nicely.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Form hard to fault. Last start ran on from midfield and won by 2.25 len at this track Mdn-Sw July 19 over 1m on a heavy track defeating King Tagaloa carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Before that 3rd of 9 at Moe Mdn-Sw on July 3 over 1m, on heavy track, 7 len behind Overpriced with 131lbs at $7.50. Improver who can measure up again. 1st Pick 5 A Long Story Short Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Michael Kent J: Luke Currie T: Michael Kent	103	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start ran on from midfield and won by 2.25 len at this track Mdn-Sw July 19 over 1m on a heavy track defeating King Tagaloa carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Before that 3rd of 9 at Moe Mdn-Sw on July 3 over 1m, on heavy track, 7 len behind Overpriced with 131lbs at $7.50. Improver who can measure up again.
3	Most recently won by 2.5 len at this track Bm62 July 19 over 1 ¼m in heavy going defeating High Tempo carrying 130lbs at $9. The race before that got back early 9th of 14 at Sale Bm62 on June 28 over 1 ¹/16m, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Tishman with 132lbs at $11. Solid hope on latest. 2nd Pick 3 Governor King Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Henry Dwyer J: John Allen T: Henry Dwyer	152	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Most recently won by 2.5 len at this track Bm62 July 19 over 1 ¼m in heavy going defeating High Tempo carrying 130lbs at $9. The race before that got back early 9th of 14 at Sale Bm62 on June 28 over 1 ¹/16m, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Tishman with 132lbs at $11. Solid hope on latest.
2	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 0 - 66 on July 22 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Shultzy with 127lbs at $3.80. The start before that 4th of 11 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm74 on July 1 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, 3 len behind Nearco Frod carrying 122lbs at $10. Racing well and should go close again. 3rd Pick 2 Omamori Jockey: Stephanie Hateley Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Stephanie Hateley T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	131	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 0 - 66 on July 22 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Shultzy with 127lbs at $3.80. The start before that 4th of 11 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm74 on July 1 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, 3 len behind Nearco Frod carrying 122lbs at $10. Racing well and should go close again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.